Long-range forecasts from AccuWeather and climate models project highs of 87–95°F (30–35°C) in Panama City on April 12, aligning with April's climatological peak as the city's warmest month, when near-equatorial positioning (9°N latitude) and declining dry-season cloud cover drive consistent afternoon maxima averaging 32°C. Trader consensus at 81.5% implied probability for 32°C or higher reflects this baseline, bolstered by recent days' temperatures hovering near 33°C, with minimal cooling from sea breezes or showers. A 15.5% chance on exactly 31°C accounts for potential partial cloudiness tempering peaks, per historical April analogs where sub-30°C highs are rare (<5%). Updated guidance from Panama's IMHPA expected within 24 hours could refine model consensus.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Panama City on April 12?
Highest temperature in Panama City on April 12?
32°C or higher 83%
31°C 15%
30°C 1.7%
29°C 1.5%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
2%
31°C
15%
32°C or higher
83%
32°C or higher 83%
31°C 15%
30°C 1.7%
29°C 1.5%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
2%
31°C
15%
32°C or higher
83%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 8, 2026, 12:44 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Long-range forecasts from AccuWeather and climate models project highs of 87–95°F (30–35°C) in Panama City on April 12, aligning with April's climatological peak as the city's warmest month, when near-equatorial positioning (9°N latitude) and declining dry-season cloud cover drive consistent afternoon maxima averaging 32°C. Trader consensus at 81.5% implied probability for 32°C or higher reflects this baseline, bolstered by recent days' temperatures hovering near 33°C, with minimal cooling from sea breezes or showers. A 15.5% chance on exactly 31°C accounts for potential partial cloudiness tempering peaks, per historical April analogs where sub-30°C highs are rare (<5%). Updated guidance from Panama's IMHPA expected within 24 hours could refine model consensus.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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