Trader consensus strongly favors 33°C or higher (75.5% implied probability) for Panama City's highest temperature on April 13, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS model ensembles projecting peak highs of 34–35°C under a persistent upper-level ridge fostering clear skies and radiative heating during the dry season's climax. Recent observations from Marcos A. Gelabert Airport—the market's resolution source—confirm sustained daytime maxima above 33°C over the past week, with low precipitation risk (under 20%) minimizing convective cooling. April climatology averages 32°C highs, but current anticyclonic conditions exceed norms, aligning trader sentiment with official monthly outlooks from AccuWeather showing 30–35°C ranges. Key uncertainty lies in potential isolated afternoon showers; watch IMHPA updates for refined short-range guidance.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Panama City on April 13?
Highest temperature in Panama City on April 13?
33°C or higher 76%
32°C 17%
31°C 8%
29°C 1.9%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
1%
31°C
8%
32°C
13%
33°C or higher
76%
33°C or higher 76%
32°C 17%
31°C 8%
29°C 1.9%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
1%
31°C
8%
32°C
13%
33°C or higher
76%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 9, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus strongly favors 33°C or higher (75.5% implied probability) for Panama City's highest temperature on April 13, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS model ensembles projecting peak highs of 34–35°C under a persistent upper-level ridge fostering clear skies and radiative heating during the dry season's climax. Recent observations from Marcos A. Gelabert Airport—the market's resolution source—confirm sustained daytime maxima above 33°C over the past week, with low precipitation risk (under 20%) minimizing convective cooling. April climatology averages 32°C highs, but current anticyclonic conditions exceed norms, aligning trader sentiment with official monthly outlooks from AccuWeather showing 30–35°C ranges. Key uncertainty lies in potential isolated afternoon showers; watch IMHPA updates for refined short-range guidance.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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