Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in at 100% implied probability for a high of 32°C or higher in Panama City today, driven by the latest forecast model consensus from meteorological services projecting peak temperatures of 31–33°C (88–92°F) at the Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport station. Current observational data shows morning readings climbing into the upper 27s°C under partly cloudy skies with light northerly winds, supported by a persistent high-pressure ridge fostering subsidence, high solar insolation, and typical late dry-season heating patterns—historical April averages at the site exceed 31°C. Realistic challenges include sudden convective showers or thunderstorms capping daytime heating, though model agreement and low precipitation odds (under 80% for isolated activity) make this improbable; hourly METAR updates through afternoon peak (2–4 PM local) will confirm.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Panama City on April 11?
Highest temperature in Panama City on April 11?
32°C or higher 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$47,460 Vol.
$47,460 Vol.
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
Yes
32°C or higher 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$47,460 Vol.
$47,460 Vol.
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 7, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in at 100% implied probability for a high of 32°C or higher in Panama City today, driven by the latest forecast model consensus from meteorological services projecting peak temperatures of 31–33°C (88–92°F) at the Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport station. Current observational data shows morning readings climbing into the upper 27s°C under partly cloudy skies with light northerly winds, supported by a persistent high-pressure ridge fostering subsidence, high solar insolation, and typical late dry-season heating patterns—historical April averages at the site exceed 31°C. Realistic challenges include sudden convective showers or thunderstorms capping daytime heating, though model agreement and low precipitation odds (under 80% for isolated activity) make this improbable; hourly METAR updates through afternoon peak (2–4 PM local) will confirm.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen