MetService's latest forecast, issued April 15, pegs Wellington's high temperature at 18°C on April 17 under initially fine skies with morning showers and northwesterlies strengthening to gale force, driving trader consensus toward 18°C (34% implied probability) over 19°C (31%). This closely matched positioning reflects model ensemble spreads in the 17–19°C range, where warm northwesterly advection from the Tasman Sea could elevate peaks if clouds dissipate quickly, while persistent showers and strong winds might suppress them toward 17°C (22%). Short-range uncertainty persists due to evolving frontal dynamics; updated National Weather Service guidance expected April 16 morning could shift odds further as observations refine the outlook. Historical April highs average 17°C, contextualizing the tight race.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Wellington on April 17?
Highest temperature in Wellington on April 17?
18°C 34%
19°C 32%
17°C 23%
20°C 9%
$11,009 Vol.
$11,009 Vol.
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
4%
17°C
23%
18°C
34%
19°C
32%
20°C
9%
21°C or higher
2%
18°C 34%
19°C 32%
17°C 23%
20°C 9%
$11,009 Vol.
$11,009 Vol.
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
4%
17°C
23%
18°C
34%
19°C
32%
20°C
9%
21°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...MetService's latest forecast, issued April 15, pegs Wellington's high temperature at 18°C on April 17 under initially fine skies with morning showers and northwesterlies strengthening to gale force, driving trader consensus toward 18°C (34% implied probability) over 19°C (31%). This closely matched positioning reflects model ensemble spreads in the 17–19°C range, where warm northwesterly advection from the Tasman Sea could elevate peaks if clouds dissipate quickly, while persistent showers and strong winds might suppress them toward 17°C (22%). Short-range uncertainty persists due to evolving frontal dynamics; updated National Weather Service guidance expected April 16 morning could shift odds further as observations refine the outlook. Historical April highs average 17°C, contextualizing the tight race.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen