**Stable high-pressure conditions and clear skies over Istanbul are producing a narrow range of overnight lows around 21–22°C for September 3, driving the tightly clustered market odds between 20°C and 23°C.** Northeasterly winds of 10–20 km/h limit radiative cooling while preventing significant cloud build-up or moisture advection, keeping the minimum temperature anchored near current evening readings of 22–23°C. Multiple short-range models converge on a daytime high near 28°C followed by an overnight low of 21–22°C, with only minor spread arising from local urban heat-island effects and exact wind timing. Historical September climatology places average minima near 17°C, but the present warm anomaly and lack of frontal passages or increased humidity support the elevated forecast values reflected in the 27% probabilities for each of the four central outcomes. No major model updates or observational shifts have occurred in the past 24 hours, leaving the market-implied distribution centered on the consensus forecast range.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Istanbul am 3. September?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Istanbul am 3. September?
18°C 50%
20°C 27%
21°C 27%
22°C 27%
NEU
NEU
3. Sep. 2026
17°C or below
1%
18°C
50%
19°C
1%
20°C
27%
21°C
27%
22°C
27%
23°C
27%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
18°C 50%
20°C 27%
21°C 27%
22°C 27%
NEU
NEU
3. Sep. 2026
17°C or below
$416 Vol.
1%
18°C
$5 Vol.
50%
19°C
$144 Vol.
1%
20°C
$0 Vol.
27%
21°C
$0 Vol.
27%
22°C
$1 Vol.
27%
23°C
$1 Vol.
27%
24°C
$344 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$45 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$507 Vol.
<1%
27°C or higher
$85 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Stable high-pressure conditions and clear skies over Istanbul are producing a narrow range of overnight lows around 21–22°C for September 3, driving the tightly clustered market odds between 20°C and 23°C.**
Northeasterly winds of 10–20 km/h limit radiative cooling while preventing significant cloud build-up or moisture advection, keeping the minimum temperature anchored near current evening readings of 22–23°C. Multiple short-range models converge on a daytime high near 28°C followed by an overnight low of 21–22°C, with only minor spread arising from local urban heat-island effects and exact wind timing.
Historical September climatology places average minima near 17°C, but the present warm anomaly and lack of frontal passages or increased humidity support the elevated forecast values reflected in the 27% probabilities for each of the four central outcomes. No major model updates or observational shifts have occurred in the past 24 hours, leaving the market-implied distribution centered on the consensus forecast range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$1,547Enddatum
3. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Stable high-pressure conditions and clear skies over Istanbul are producing a narrow range of overnight lows around 21–22°C for September 3, driving the tightly clustered market odds between 20°C and 23°C.**
Northeasterly winds of 10–20 km/h limit radiative cooling while preventing significant cloud build-up or moisture advection, keeping the minimum temperature anchored near current evening readings of 22–23°C. Multiple short-range models converge on a daytime high near 28°C followed by an overnight low of 21–22°C, with only minor spread arising from local urban heat-island effects and exact wind timing.
Historical September climatology places average minima near 17°C, but the present warm anomaly and lack of frontal passages or increased humidity support the elevated forecast values reflected in the 27% probabilities for each of the four central outcomes. No major model updates or observational shifts have occurred in the past 24 hours, leaving the market-implied distribution centered on the consensus forecast range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,547Enddatum
3. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...**Stable high-pressure conditions and clear skies over Istanbul are producing a narrow range of overnight lows around 21–22°C for September 3, driving the tightly clustered market odds between 20°C and 23°C.** Northeasterly winds of 10–20 km/h limit radiative cooling while preventing significant cloud build-up or moisture advection, keeping the minimum temperature anchored near current evening readings of 22–23°C. Multiple short-range models converge on a daytime high near 28°C followed by an overnight low of 21–22°C, with only minor spread arising from local urban heat-island effects and exact wind timing. Historical September climatology places average minima near 17°C, but the present warm anomaly and lack of frontal passages or increased humidity support the elevated forecast values reflected in the 27% probabilities for each of the four central outcomes. No major model updates or observational shifts have occurred in the past 24 hours, leaving the market-implied distribution centered on the consensus forecast range.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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