Forecast uncertainty around Jeddah's minimum temperature on September 11 stems from typical late-summer Red Sea coastal dynamics, where high humidity (often 60-80%) and light variable winds limit nocturnal cooling, producing lows historically averaging 27-29°C with modest day-to-day variability. Recent model runs from sources like GFS and ECMWF project overnight minima near 28-31°C under partly cloudy conditions and stable pressure near 1007 hPa, consistent with September climatology showing rare excursions below 26°C or above 32°C. The balanced market odds between sub-25°C and 35°C+ outcomes reflect trader assessment of potential forecast revisions or station-specific measurement thresholds amid ongoing warm anomalies, while narrower bands around 28-30°C capture the most probable range pending final observational data.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Dschidda am 11. September?
25°C oder darunter 95%
35°C oder höher 94%
30°C 44%
31°C 40%
25°C oder darunter
95%
26°C
38%
27°C
38%
28°C
38%
29°C
21%
30°C
26%
31°C
22%
32°C
38%
33°C
38%
34°C
38%
35°C oder höher
94%
25°C oder darunter 95%
35°C oder höher 94%
30°C 44%
31°C 40%
25°C oder darunter
95%
26°C
38%
27°C
38%
28°C
38%
29°C
21%
30°C
26%
31°C
22%
32°C
38%
33°C
38%
34°C
38%
35°C oder höher
94%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Forecast uncertainty around Jeddah's minimum temperature on September 11 stems from typical late-summer Red Sea coastal dynamics, where high humidity (often 60-80%) and light variable winds limit nocturnal cooling, producing lows historically averaging 27-29°C with modest day-to-day variability. Recent model runs from sources like GFS and ECMWF project overnight minima near 28-31°C under partly cloudy conditions and stable pressure near 1007 hPa, consistent with September climatology showing rare excursions below 26°C or above 32°C. The balanced market odds between sub-25°C and 35°C+ outcomes reflect trader assessment of potential forecast revisions or station-specific measurement thresholds amid ongoing warm anomalies, while narrower bands around 28-30°C capture the most probable range pending final observational data.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert


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