Recent forecasts from models such as GFS show a cool frontal system arriving over northern Italy, with light rain and northeasterly winds maintaining high humidity and limiting daytime heating. This setup supports an overnight minimum near 16°C in Milan, consistent with observed trends and historical September baselines around 17°C. Multiple runs converge on lows between 15–17°C through the evening, with limited model spread reducing uncertainty. Traders have priced this consensus heavily into the 15–16°C outcomes, as any further cooling would require stronger advection or clearer skies than current guidance indicates. Updated model runs tonight will clarify whether the low settles at 16°C or edges lower.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Mailand am 10. September?
16°C 70%
15°C 47%
13°C 7%
14°C 7%
12°C oder weniger
3%
13°C
7%
14°C
7%
15°C
47%
16°C
70%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C oder höher
<1%
16°C 70%
15°C 47%
13°C 7%
14°C 7%
12°C oder weniger
3%
13°C
7%
14°C
7%
15°C
47%
16°C
70%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from models such as GFS show a cool frontal system arriving over northern Italy, with light rain and northeasterly winds maintaining high humidity and limiting daytime heating. This setup supports an overnight minimum near 16°C in Milan, consistent with observed trends and historical September baselines around 17°C. Multiple runs converge on lows between 15–17°C through the evening, with limited model spread reducing uncertainty. Traders have priced this consensus heavily into the 15–16°C outcomes, as any further cooling would require stronger advection or clearer skies than current guidance indicates. Updated model runs tonight will clarify whether the low settles at 16°C or edges lower.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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