Current ensemble forecasts from major models point to an overnight minimum in Milan on September 11 near 16–18 °C under light northeasterly flow and partly cloudy skies, yet the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 14–15 °C versus adjacent bins reflects remaining uncertainty in nocturnal radiative cooling. In the Po Valley, clear-sky longwave loss can drive surface temperatures several degrees below the 2 m forecast, especially where dew points remain elevated near 16 °C and wind speeds stay below 2 m/s, limiting turbulent mixing. Conversely, increased low-level cloud or a slightly stronger breeze would suppress the drop, while any unforecasted fog formation could anchor the minimum near 17 °C. Historical September climatology shows typical overnight lows of 14–16 °C, providing context for the balanced probabilities traders assign across these narrow thresholds.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Mailand am 11. September?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Mailand am 11. September?
12°C oder darunter 58%
22°C oder höher 58%
14°C 29%
15°C 25%
NEU
NEU
11. Sep. 2026
12°C oder darunter
58%
13°C
24%
14°C
29%
15°C
25%
16°C
23%
17°C
11%
18°C
15%
19°C
14%
20°C
8%
21°C
8%
22°C oder höher
58%
12°C oder darunter 58%
22°C oder höher 58%
14°C 29%
15°C 25%
NEU
NEU
11. Sep. 2026
12°C oder darunter
$0 Vol.
58%
13°C
$0 Vol.
24%
14°C
$0 Vol.
29%
15°C
$0 Vol.
25%
16°C
$0 Vol.
23%
17°C
$35 Vol.
11%
18°C
$0 Vol.
15%
19°C
$0 Vol.
14%
20°C
$0 Vol.
8%
21°C
$0 Vol.
8%
22°C oder höher
$0 Vol.
58%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from major models point to an overnight minimum in Milan on September 11 near 16–18 °C under light northeasterly flow and partly cloudy skies, yet the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 14–15 °C versus adjacent bins reflects remaining uncertainty in nocturnal radiative cooling. In the Po Valley, clear-sky longwave loss can drive surface temperatures several degrees below the 2 m forecast, especially where dew points remain elevated near 16 °C and wind speeds stay below 2 m/s, limiting turbulent mixing. Conversely, increased low-level cloud or a slightly stronger breeze would suppress the drop, while any unforecasted fog formation could anchor the minimum near 17 °C. Historical September climatology shows typical overnight lows of 14–16 °C, providing context for the balanced probabilities traders assign across these narrow thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 9, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$35Enddatum
11. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 9, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from major models point to an overnight minimum in Milan on September 11 near 16–18 °C under light northeasterly flow and partly cloudy skies, yet the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 14–15 °C versus adjacent bins reflects remaining uncertainty in nocturnal radiative cooling. In the Po Valley, clear-sky longwave loss can drive surface temperatures several degrees below the 2 m forecast, especially where dew points remain elevated near 16 °C and wind speeds stay below 2 m/s, limiting turbulent mixing. Conversely, increased low-level cloud or a slightly stronger breeze would suppress the drop, while any unforecasted fog formation could anchor the minimum near 17 °C. Historical September climatology shows typical overnight lows of 14–16 °C, providing context for the balanced probabilities traders assign across these narrow thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$35Enddatum
11. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 9, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from major models point to an overnight minimum in Milan on September 11 near 16–18 °C under light northeasterly flow and partly cloudy skies, yet the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 14–15 °C versus adjacent bins reflects remaining uncertainty in nocturnal radiative cooling. In the Po Valley, clear-sky longwave loss can drive surface temperatures several degrees below the 2 m forecast, especially where dew points remain elevated near 16 °C and wind speeds stay below 2 m/s, limiting turbulent mixing. Conversely, increased low-level cloud or a slightly stronger breeze would suppress the drop, while any unforecasted fog formation could anchor the minimum near 17 °C. Historical September climatology shows typical overnight lows of 14–16 °C, providing context for the balanced probabilities traders assign across these narrow thresholds.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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