**Forecast models from sources like GFS and ECMWF point to a minimum temperature in Paris on September 14 in the 15–17°C range under a stable high-pressure pattern with light northwest winds and partly cloudy skies.** This setup favors moderate overnight radiative cooling without strong cold advection or clear skies that would drive sharper drops. Current guidance shows daytime highs near 26–28°C, with the overnight low likely occurring just before dawn amid dew points around 15°C and minimal wind. Historical September averages sit near 11–12°C, so the mild air mass keeps probabilities concentrated on 15–17°C while still leaving room for 12°C or below if clouds clear more than expected. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, key variables for the exact minimum.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Paris am 14. September?
15°C 40%
14°C 39%
12°C oder darunter 28%
18°C 26%
12°C oder darunter
28%
13°C
20%
14°C
39%
15°C
31%
16°C
31%
17°C
23%
18°C
26%
19°C
21%
20°C
2%
21°C
2%
22°C oder höher
2%
15°C 40%
14°C 39%
12°C oder darunter 28%
18°C 26%
12°C oder darunter
28%
13°C
20%
14°C
39%
15°C
31%
16°C
31%
17°C
23%
18°C
26%
19°C
21%
20°C
2%
21°C
2%
22°C oder höher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 12, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from sources like GFS and ECMWF point to a minimum temperature in Paris on September 14 in the 15–17°C range under a stable high-pressure pattern with light northwest winds and partly cloudy skies.** This setup favors moderate overnight radiative cooling without strong cold advection or clear skies that would drive sharper drops. Current guidance shows daytime highs near 26–28°C, with the overnight low likely occurring just before dawn amid dew points around 15°C and minimal wind. Historical September averages sit near 11–12°C, so the mild air mass keeps probabilities concentrated on 15–17°C while still leaving room for 12°C or below if clouds clear more than expected. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, key variables for the exact minimum.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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