**Current forecasts from meteorological models and agencies point to a minimum of 16°C in Qingdao on September 9, 2026, supported by northerly winds, partly cloudy skies, and conditions favoring overnight radiative cooling under moderate humidity.** Highs are expected near 25°C during the day, consistent with early September climatology for the region. Trader consensus at 95.5% implied probability for 16°C reflects alignment across official guidance and historical analogs for similar synoptic patterns, with limited divergence in ensemble runs. A shift to greater cloud cover, weaker winds, or delayed frontal passage could allow the low to settle at 15°C or below, while stronger mixing or southerly flow would push it higher. Updated model runs and official observations near resolution will determine the final outcome.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Qingdao am 9. September?
16°C 96%
15°C 20%
14°C oder darunter 6%
17°C <1%
14°C oder darunter
6%
15°C
20%
16°C
96%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C oder höher
<1%
16°C 96%
15°C 20%
14°C oder darunter 6%
17°C <1%
14°C oder darunter
6%
15°C
20%
16°C
96%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 7, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts from meteorological models and agencies point to a minimum of 16°C in Qingdao on September 9, 2026, supported by northerly winds, partly cloudy skies, and conditions favoring overnight radiative cooling under moderate humidity.** Highs are expected near 25°C during the day, consistent with early September climatology for the region. Trader consensus at 95.5% implied probability for 16°C reflects alignment across official guidance and historical analogs for similar synoptic patterns, with limited divergence in ensemble runs. A shift to greater cloud cover, weaker winds, or delayed frontal passage could allow the low to settle at 15°C or below, while stronger mixing or southerly flow would push it higher. Updated model runs and official observations near resolution will determine the final outcome.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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