Singapore’s minimum temperature on September 4 is expected to fall in the mid-to-upper 20s Celsius under prevailing Southwest Monsoon conditions and a moderate-to-strong El Niño. Official outlooks indicate minimum temperatures will likely remain above 27°C on most nights during the first half of September, with drier-than-average conditions limiting nocturnal cooling. Historical September averages place the daily minimum near 25.2°C, but current model consensus and regional climate signals point to suppressed variability and warmer nights due to reduced rainfall and enhanced atmospheric stability. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 26–27°C reflects this near-term forecast consensus and the narrow diurnal temperature range typical of Singapore’s equatorial climate, while lower outcomes would require an atypical surge of cooler maritime air unlikely under present ENSO forcing.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Singapur am 4. September?
28°C 62%
22°C oder weniger 61%
23°C 61%
25°C 61%
22°C oder weniger
61%
23°C
61%
24°C
38%
25°C
61%
26°C
45%
27°C
51%
28°C
62%
29°C
3%
30°C
8%
31°C
2%
32°C oder höher
5%
28°C 62%
22°C oder weniger 61%
23°C 61%
25°C 61%
22°C oder weniger
61%
23°C
61%
24°C
38%
25°C
61%
26°C
45%
27°C
51%
28°C
62%
29°C
3%
30°C
8%
31°C
2%
32°C oder höher
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsssAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsssAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Singapore’s minimum temperature on September 4 is expected to fall in the mid-to-upper 20s Celsius under prevailing Southwest Monsoon conditions and a moderate-to-strong El Niño. Official outlooks indicate minimum temperatures will likely remain above 27°C on most nights during the first half of September, with drier-than-average conditions limiting nocturnal cooling. Historical September averages place the daily minimum near 25.2°C, but current model consensus and regional climate signals point to suppressed variability and warmer nights due to reduced rainfall and enhanced atmospheric stability. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 26–27°C reflects this near-term forecast consensus and the narrow diurnal temperature range typical of Singapore’s equatorial climate, while lower outcomes would require an atypical surge of cooler maritime air unlikely under present ENSO forcing.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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