Persistent rain and cloud cover associated with an autumn frontal system are keeping Tokyo temperatures suppressed, with official Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and multiple model runs indicating a minimum near 18–20°C for September 11. Northerly winds and high humidity from ongoing showers limit radiative cooling overnight while preventing significant daytime warming, consistent with recent observed lows of 19–20°C amid above-normal rainfall. This pattern supports the market’s concentration on 19°C (43%), 20°C (27%), and 18°C (21.5%) as leading outcomes. Updated JMA guidance and hourly observations through the night will provide the final data for resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Tokio am 11. September?
19°C 43%
20°C 23%
18°C 22%
17°C 5%
14°C oder weniger
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
3%
17°C
5%
18°C
22%
19°C
43%
20°C
19%
21°C
5%
22°C
4%
23°C
1%
24°C oder höher
<1%
19°C 43%
20°C 23%
18°C 22%
17°C 5%
14°C oder weniger
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
3%
17°C
5%
18°C
22%
19°C
43%
20°C
19%
21°C
5%
22°C
4%
23°C
1%
24°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Persistent rain and cloud cover associated with an autumn frontal system are keeping Tokyo temperatures suppressed, with official Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and multiple model runs indicating a minimum near 18–20°C for September 11. Northerly winds and high humidity from ongoing showers limit radiative cooling overnight while preventing significant daytime warming, consistent with recent observed lows of 19–20°C amid above-normal rainfall. This pattern supports the market’s concentration on 19°C (43%), 20°C (27%), and 18°C (21.5%) as leading outcomes. Updated JMA guidance and hourly observations through the night will provide the final data for resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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