The Massachusetts 3rd congressional district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+11, anchors trader consensus around the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Lori Trahan faces only token primary opposition ahead of the September 1, 2026, primary and holds a record of decisive general-election margins, while the Republican primary winner Gary Grossi has raised minimal funds. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic, consistent with Massachusetts' nine-seat House delegation remaining entirely Democratic. Limited campaign activity or external events in recent months have left little scope for shifts, though the November 3, 2026, general election could still see movement if unusual turnout patterns or late candidate developments emerge.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertMA-03 Wahlsieger
MA-03 Wahlsieger
$15,938 Vol.
$15,938 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Demokratische Partei
94%
Republikanische Partei
6%
$15,938 Vol.
$15,938 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Demokratische Partei
$7,144 Vol.
94%
Republikanische Partei
$8,794 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Massachusetts 3rd congressional district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+11, anchors trader consensus around the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Lori Trahan faces only token primary opposition ahead of the September 1, 2026, primary and holds a record of decisive general-election margins, while the Republican primary winner Gary Grossi has raised minimal funds. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic, consistent with Massachusetts' nine-seat House delegation remaining entirely Democratic. Limited campaign activity or external events in recent months have left little scope for shifts, though the November 3, 2026, general election could still see movement if unusual turnout patterns or late candidate developments emerge.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volumen
$15,938Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Massachusetts 3rd congressional district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+11, anchors trader consensus around the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Lori Trahan faces only token primary opposition ahead of the September 1, 2026, primary and holds a record of decisive general-election margins, while the Republican primary winner Gary Grossi has raised minimal funds. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic, consistent with Massachusetts' nine-seat House delegation remaining entirely Democratic. Limited campaign activity or external events in recent months have left little scope for shifts, though the November 3, 2026, general election could still see movement if unusual turnout patterns or late candidate developments emerge.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$15,938Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Massachusetts 3rd congressional district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+11, anchors trader consensus around the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Lori Trahan faces only token primary opposition ahead of the September 1, 2026, primary and holds a record of decisive general-election margins, while the Republican primary winner Gary Grossi has raised minimal funds. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic, consistent with Massachusetts' nine-seat House delegation remaining entirely Democratic. Limited campaign activity or external events in recent months have left little scope for shifts, though the November 3, 2026, general election could still see movement if unusual turnout patterns or late candidate developments emerge.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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