Trader sentiment for Buenos Aires' highest temperature on March 25 clusters tightly around 25-27°C, driven by converging short-range forecasts from models like GFS and ECMWF, which project a daytime high of 26°C amid mild late-summer conditions with partial cloud cover and light northerly winds. Leading outcomes differentiate on subtle factors: increased cloudiness could cap peaks at 25°C by enhancing albedo and reducing insolation, while clearer skies or stronger solar heating might push to 27°C, as hinted by SMN Argentina's latest guidance showing 25-28°C range. Historical March averages hover near 26°C, but recent cooler Atlantic influences temper extremes, yielding low odds for 30°C+ (1.8%) or sub-23°C (under 1%). Ensemble uncertainty keeps markets balanced ahead of final 12-hour updates.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on March 25?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on March 25?
26°C 27%
25°C 25%
27°C 22%
28°C 18%
20°C or below
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
17%
24°C
17%
25°C
25%
26°C
27%
27°C
22%
28°C
18%
29°C
15%
30°C or higher
2%
26°C 27%
25°C 25%
27°C 22%
28°C 18%
20°C or below
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
17%
24°C
17%
25°C
25%
26°C
27%
27°C
22%
28°C
18%
29°C
15%
30°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 21, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Buenos Aires' highest temperature on March 25 clusters tightly around 25-27°C, driven by converging short-range forecasts from models like GFS and ECMWF, which project a daytime high of 26°C amid mild late-summer conditions with partial cloud cover and light northerly winds. Leading outcomes differentiate on subtle factors: increased cloudiness could cap peaks at 25°C by enhancing albedo and reducing insolation, while clearer skies or stronger solar heating might push to 27°C, as hinted by SMN Argentina's latest guidance showing 25-28°C range. Historical March averages hover near 26°C, but recent cooler Atlantic influences temper extremes, yielding low odds for 30°C+ (1.8%) or sub-23°C (under 1%). Ensemble uncertainty keeps markets balanced ahead of final 12-hour updates.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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