Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 58-65°F highs for Chicago on March 25, led by ensemble forecasts from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF models converging on peaks near 62°F amid a persistent upper-level ridge fostering southerly winds. Differentiating the top bins—62-63°F (18.5%) versus 58-59°F (16.5%) and 64-65°F (16%)—hinges on the precise timing of a weak cold front: earlier intrusion chills to upper 50s, while delayed passage allows mid-60s under adiabatic warming. Recent 00z runs trended slightly warmer, countering historical late-March averages of 48°F, though model spread reflects spring's inherent chaos from jet stream wavering. Watch 12z updates for shifts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Chicago el 25 de marzo?
¿La temperatura más alta en Chicago el 25 de marzo?
62-63°F 21%
58-59°F 17%
54-55°F 13%
60-61°F 13%
49°F o menos
1%
50-51°F
3%
52-53°F
11%
54-55°F
13%
56-57°F
16%
58-59°F
17%
60-61°F
13%
62-63°F
21%
64-65°F
17%
66-67°F
13%
68°F o más
9%
62-63°F 21%
58-59°F 17%
54-55°F 13%
60-61°F 13%
49°F o menos
1%
50-51°F
3%
52-53°F
11%
54-55°F
13%
56-57°F
16%
58-59°F
17%
60-61°F
13%
62-63°F
21%
64-65°F
17%
66-67°F
13%
68°F o más
9%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 21, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 58-65°F highs for Chicago on March 25, led by ensemble forecasts from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF models converging on peaks near 62°F amid a persistent upper-level ridge fostering southerly winds. Differentiating the top bins—62-63°F (18.5%) versus 58-59°F (16.5%) and 64-65°F (16%)—hinges on the precise timing of a weak cold front: earlier intrusion chills to upper 50s, while delayed passage allows mid-60s under adiabatic warming. Recent 00z runs trended slightly warmer, countering historical late-March averages of 48°F, though model spread reflects spring's inherent chaos from jet stream wavering. Watch 12z updates for shifts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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