Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 65.5% implied probability to a high temperature of 54°F or higher in Denver on April 17, driven by the latest National Weather Service forecasts and model ensembles from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF, which project daytime highs near 54-56°F amid a sharp cooldown from an incoming upper-level trough and cold air mass advection following unseasonably warm conditions earlier this week. A Freeze Watch covers overnight lows potentially dipping into the upper 20s to low 30s, but breezy southwesterly flow and partial clearing are expected to support mid-50s peaks despite scattered showers and mountain snow nearby. Recent NWS Area Forecast Discussions highlight strong model agreement with minimal spread, lowering odds for sub-52°F outcomes, though final high-altitude observations and afternoon updates could refine this before resolution based on official Denver International Airport measurements.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Denver on April 17?
Highest temperature in Denver on April 17?
54°F or higher 67%
52-53°F 11%
50-51°F 10%
48-49°F 7.0%
NUEVO
$18,790 Vol.
NUEVO
$18,790 Vol.
17 abr 2026
35°F or below
<1%
36-37°F
1%
38-39°F
1%
40-41°F
<1%
42-43°F
1%
44-45°F
2%
46-47°F
2%
48-49°F
7%
50-51°F
10%
52-53°F
11%
54°F or higher
67%
54°F or higher 67%
52-53°F 11%
50-51°F 10%
48-49°F 7.0%
NUEVO
$18,790 Vol.
NUEVO
$18,790 Vol.
17 abr 2026
35°F or below
$5,705 Vol.
<1%
36-37°F
$3,327 Vol.
1%
38-39°F
$2,236 Vol.
1%
40-41°F
$1,140 Vol.
<1%
42-43°F
$812 Vol.
1%
44-45°F
$1,416 Vol.
2%
46-47°F
$328 Vol.
2%
48-49°F
$523 Vol.
7%
50-51°F
$672 Vol.
10%
52-53°F
$554 Vol.
11%
54°F or higher
$2,083 Vol.
67%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 65.5% implied probability to a high temperature of 54°F or higher in Denver on April 17, driven by the latest National Weather Service forecasts and model ensembles from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF, which project daytime highs near 54-56°F amid a sharp cooldown from an incoming upper-level trough and cold air mass advection following unseasonably warm conditions earlier this week. A Freeze Watch covers overnight lows potentially dipping into the upper 20s to low 30s, but breezy southwesterly flow and partial clearing are expected to support mid-50s peaks despite scattered showers and mountain snow nearby. Recent NWS Area Forecast Discussions highlight strong model agreement with minimal spread, lowering odds for sub-52°F outcomes, though final high-altitude observations and afternoon updates could refine this before resolution based on official Denver International Airport measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 15, 2026, 6:06 AM ET
Volumen
$18,790Fecha de finalización
17 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 15, 2026, 6:06 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 65.5% implied probability to a high temperature of 54°F or higher in Denver on April 17, driven by the latest National Weather Service forecasts and model ensembles from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF, which project daytime highs near 54-56°F amid a sharp cooldown from an incoming upper-level trough and cold air mass advection following unseasonably warm conditions earlier this week. A Freeze Watch covers overnight lows potentially dipping into the upper 20s to low 30s, but breezy southwesterly flow and partial clearing are expected to support mid-50s peaks despite scattered showers and mountain snow nearby. Recent NWS Area Forecast Discussions highlight strong model agreement with minimal spread, lowering odds for sub-52°F outcomes, though final high-altitude observations and afternoon updates could refine this before resolution based on official Denver International Airport measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$18,790Fecha de finalización
17 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 15, 2026, 6:06 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 65.5% implied probability to a high temperature of 54°F or higher in Denver on April 17, driven by the latest National Weather Service forecasts and model ensembles from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF, which project daytime highs near 54-56°F amid a sharp cooldown from an incoming upper-level trough and cold air mass advection following unseasonably warm conditions earlier this week. A Freeze Watch covers overnight lows potentially dipping into the upper 20s to low 30s, but breezy southwesterly flow and partial clearing are expected to support mid-50s peaks despite scattered showers and mountain snow nearby. Recent NWS Area Forecast Discussions highlight strong model agreement with minimal spread, lowering odds for sub-52°F outcomes, though final high-altitude observations and afternoon updates could refine this before resolution based on official Denver International Airport measurements.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes