Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 13°C (38% implied probability) as Moscow's highest temperature today, closely tracking the latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts projecting daytime highs of 12–14°C under partly cloudy skies with light northerly winds at 10–20 km/h. Russian forecasters from the Hydrometeorological Centre echo this, anticipating 11–16°C amid clouds and possible light rain, which could cap peak warming after morning lows near 8–9°C under overcast conditions. This positioning reflects refined model runs over the past 24 hours, incorporating cooler air mass advection following yesterday's lower temperatures, against mid-April climatological averages of 10–12°C highs. Key uncertainties include evolving cloud cover and precipitation timing, with hourly observations from official stations determining final resolution by evening.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Moscow on April 15?
Highest temperature in Moscow on April 15?
12°C 33%
13°C 28%
11°C 19%
14°C 6.2%
NUEVO
$34,187 Vol.
NUEVO
$34,187 Vol.
15 abr 2026
9°C
<1%
10°C
4%
11°C
19%
12°C
33%
13°C
27%
14°C
6%
15°C
4%
16°C
1%
17°C
1%
18°C or higher
<1%
12°C 33%
13°C 28%
11°C 19%
14°C 6.2%
NUEVO
$34,187 Vol.
NUEVO
$34,187 Vol.
15 abr 2026
9°C
$7,542 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$2,031 Vol.
4%
11°C
$1,642 Vol.
19%
12°C
$907 Vol.
33%
13°C
$1,064 Vol.
27%
14°C
$4,064 Vol.
6%
15°C
$3,720 Vol.
4%
16°C
$3,873 Vol.
1%
17°C
$2,725 Vol.
1%
18°C or higher
$1,528 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 13°C (38% implied probability) as Moscow's highest temperature today, closely tracking the latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts projecting daytime highs of 12–14°C under partly cloudy skies with light northerly winds at 10–20 km/h. Russian forecasters from the Hydrometeorological Centre echo this, anticipating 11–16°C amid clouds and possible light rain, which could cap peak warming after morning lows near 8–9°C under overcast conditions. This positioning reflects refined model runs over the past 24 hours, incorporating cooler air mass advection following yesterday's lower temperatures, against mid-April climatological averages of 10–12°C highs. Key uncertainties include evolving cloud cover and precipitation timing, with hourly observations from official stations determining final resolution by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 13, 2026, 12:15 AM ET
Volumen
$34,187Fecha de finalización
15 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 13, 2026, 12:15 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 13°C (38% implied probability) as Moscow's highest temperature today, closely tracking the latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts projecting daytime highs of 12–14°C under partly cloudy skies with light northerly winds at 10–20 km/h. Russian forecasters from the Hydrometeorological Centre echo this, anticipating 11–16°C amid clouds and possible light rain, which could cap peak warming after morning lows near 8–9°C under overcast conditions. This positioning reflects refined model runs over the past 24 hours, incorporating cooler air mass advection following yesterday's lower temperatures, against mid-April climatological averages of 10–12°C highs. Key uncertainties include evolving cloud cover and precipitation timing, with hourly observations from official stations determining final resolution by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$34,187Fecha de finalización
15 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 13, 2026, 12:15 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 13°C (38% implied probability) as Moscow's highest temperature today, closely tracking the latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts projecting daytime highs of 12–14°C under partly cloudy skies with light northerly winds at 10–20 km/h. Russian forecasters from the Hydrometeorological Centre echo this, anticipating 11–16°C amid clouds and possible light rain, which could cap peak warming after morning lows near 8–9°C under overcast conditions. This positioning reflects refined model runs over the past 24 hours, incorporating cooler air mass advection following yesterday's lower temperatures, against mid-April climatological averages of 10–12°C highs. Key uncertainties include evolving cloud cover and precipitation timing, with hourly observations from official stations determining final resolution by evening.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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