Hong Kong Observatory's early morning forecast for April 15 projects a maximum temperature around 29°C in urban areas amid moderate southerly winds and an upper-level anticyclone aloft, promoting hot conditions with sunny intervals despite mainly cloudy skies—this drives the 43% implied probability on 29°C, reflecting trader consensus on official guidance. Recent station data from April 14 showed peaks exceeding 30°C at New Territories sites like Sheung Shui (30.6°C) and Tai Po (30.7°C), sustaining momentum for 30°C or higher at 27% and 28°C at 29%, while low rain probability (under 20%) supports heating potential. April climatological highs average 25-27°C, but this year's above-normal seasonal outlook and ongoing post-March heatwave elevate expectations; intraday observations will clarify peak as solar insolation peaks this afternoon.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Hong Kong on April 15?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 15?
29°C 49%
28°C 28%
30°C or higher 26%
27°C 1.1%
NUEVO
$73,570 Vol.
NUEVO
$73,570 Vol.
15 abr 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
28%
29°C
49%
30°C or higher
26%
29°C 49%
28°C 28%
30°C or higher 26%
27°C 1.1%
NUEVO
$73,570 Vol.
NUEVO
$73,570 Vol.
15 abr 2026
20°C or below
$3,292 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$1,965 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$2,036 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$2,980 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$2,476 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$7,982 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$21,692 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$13,747 Vol.
1%
28°C
$5,651 Vol.
28%
29°C
$4,791 Vol.
49%
30°C or higher
$7,339 Vol.
26%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory's early morning forecast for April 15 projects a maximum temperature around 29°C in urban areas amid moderate southerly winds and an upper-level anticyclone aloft, promoting hot conditions with sunny intervals despite mainly cloudy skies—this drives the 43% implied probability on 29°C, reflecting trader consensus on official guidance. Recent station data from April 14 showed peaks exceeding 30°C at New Territories sites like Sheung Shui (30.6°C) and Tai Po (30.7°C), sustaining momentum for 30°C or higher at 27% and 28°C at 29%, while low rain probability (under 20%) supports heating potential. April climatological highs average 25-27°C, but this year's above-normal seasonal outlook and ongoing post-March heatwave elevate expectations; intraday observations will clarify peak as solar insolation peaks this afternoon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 13, 2026, 12:20 AM ET
Volumen
$73,570Fecha de finalización
15 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 13, 2026, 12:20 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory's early morning forecast for April 15 projects a maximum temperature around 29°C in urban areas amid moderate southerly winds and an upper-level anticyclone aloft, promoting hot conditions with sunny intervals despite mainly cloudy skies—this drives the 43% implied probability on 29°C, reflecting trader consensus on official guidance. Recent station data from April 14 showed peaks exceeding 30°C at New Territories sites like Sheung Shui (30.6°C) and Tai Po (30.7°C), sustaining momentum for 30°C or higher at 27% and 28°C at 29%, while low rain probability (under 20%) supports heating potential. April climatological highs average 25-27°C, but this year's above-normal seasonal outlook and ongoing post-March heatwave elevate expectations; intraday observations will clarify peak as solar insolation peaks this afternoon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$73,570Fecha de finalización
15 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 13, 2026, 12:20 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hong Kong Observatory's early morning forecast for April 15 projects a maximum temperature around 29°C in urban areas amid moderate southerly winds and an upper-level anticyclone aloft, promoting hot conditions with sunny intervals despite mainly cloudy skies—this drives the 43% implied probability on 29°C, reflecting trader consensus on official guidance. Recent station data from April 14 showed peaks exceeding 30°C at New Territories sites like Sheung Shui (30.6°C) and Tai Po (30.7°C), sustaining momentum for 30°C or higher at 27% and 28°C at 29%, while low rain probability (under 20%) supports heating potential. April climatological highs average 25-27°C, but this year's above-normal seasonal outlook and ongoing post-March heatwave elevate expectations; intraday observations will clarify peak as solar insolation peaks this afternoon.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes