Hong Kong Observatory's latest forecasts, updated April 15, project a maximum temperature of 29°C on April 16 amid a southerly airstream delivering warm, moist air and sunny periods conducive to peak heating, with a 25–29°C daily range and low rain probability. This aligns with trader sentiment favoring 28°C (36%) and 29°C (31.5%), reflecting model consensus for above-normal spring warmth during an ongoing heatwave that pushed recent highs near 30°C. Differentiating factors include variable cloud cover potentially capping solar insolation at 28°C via sea breezes or early showers, versus clearer skies enabling 29°C; historical April averages hover around 26°C. Watch HKO updates today for refined guidance ahead of afternoon peak.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Hong Kong on April 16?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 16?
28°C 36%
29°C 32%
30°C or higher 18%
27°C 14%
$10,176 Vol.
$10,176 Vol.
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
9%
27°C
14%
28°C
36%
29°C
32%
30°C or higher
18%
28°C 36%
29°C 32%
30°C or higher 18%
27°C 14%
$10,176 Vol.
$10,176 Vol.
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
9%
27°C
14%
28°C
36%
29°C
32%
30°C or higher
18%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 14, 2026, 6:06 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Hong Kong Observatory's latest forecasts, updated April 15, project a maximum temperature of 29°C on April 16 amid a southerly airstream delivering warm, moist air and sunny periods conducive to peak heating, with a 25–29°C daily range and low rain probability. This aligns with trader sentiment favoring 28°C (36%) and 29°C (31.5%), reflecting model consensus for above-normal spring warmth during an ongoing heatwave that pushed recent highs near 30°C. Differentiating factors include variable cloud cover potentially capping solar insolation at 28°C via sea breezes or early showers, versus clearer skies enabling 29°C; historical April averages hover around 26°C. Watch HKO updates today for refined guidance ahead of afternoon peak.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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