Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a 21°C high temperature in Tokyo on April 15 at 36% implied probability, closely tracking the Japan Meteorological Agency's (JMA) latest forecast issued April 14 afternoon, which projects a daytime maximum of 21°C under cloudy skies with occasional scattered showers later. Persistent cloud cover will suppress solar insolation and daytime heating, aligning outcomes near the seasonal normal maximum of 19.5°C while mild southerly flows support slight elevations into the 20–22°C range favored by 80% of probabilities. Recent two-week JMA temperature outlooks indicated "very high" potential earlier in the week, but today's shift to precipitation probabilities refined trader positioning. Watch for the next JMA three-hourly update overnight, with resolution based on official Tokyo Haneda Airport observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Tokyo on April 15?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on April 15?
21°C 36%
20°C 21%
22°C 20.3%
19°C 4.7%
NUEVO
$87,012 Vol.
NUEVO
$87,012 Vol.
15 abr 2026
17°C
<1%
18°C
3%
19°C
5%
20°C
21%
21°C
36%
22°C
20%
23°C
3%
24°C or higher
2%
21°C 36%
20°C 21%
22°C 20.3%
19°C 4.7%
NUEVO
$87,012 Vol.
NUEVO
$87,012 Vol.
15 abr 2026
17°C
$9,260 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$9,609 Vol.
3%
19°C
$6,528 Vol.
5%
20°C
$4,429 Vol.
21%
21°C
$4,403 Vol.
36%
22°C
$6,595 Vol.
20%
23°C
$6,175 Vol.
3%
24°C or higher
$7,462 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a 21°C high temperature in Tokyo on April 15 at 36% implied probability, closely tracking the Japan Meteorological Agency's (JMA) latest forecast issued April 14 afternoon, which projects a daytime maximum of 21°C under cloudy skies with occasional scattered showers later. Persistent cloud cover will suppress solar insolation and daytime heating, aligning outcomes near the seasonal normal maximum of 19.5°C while mild southerly flows support slight elevations into the 20–22°C range favored by 80% of probabilities. Recent two-week JMA temperature outlooks indicated "very high" potential earlier in the week, but today's shift to precipitation probabilities refined trader positioning. Watch for the next JMA three-hourly update overnight, with resolution based on official Tokyo Haneda Airport observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volumen
$87,012Fecha de finalización
15 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a 21°C high temperature in Tokyo on April 15 at 36% implied probability, closely tracking the Japan Meteorological Agency's (JMA) latest forecast issued April 14 afternoon, which projects a daytime maximum of 21°C under cloudy skies with occasional scattered showers later. Persistent cloud cover will suppress solar insolation and daytime heating, aligning outcomes near the seasonal normal maximum of 19.5°C while mild southerly flows support slight elevations into the 20–22°C range favored by 80% of probabilities. Recent two-week JMA temperature outlooks indicated "very high" potential earlier in the week, but today's shift to precipitation probabilities refined trader positioning. Watch for the next JMA three-hourly update overnight, with resolution based on official Tokyo Haneda Airport observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$87,012Fecha de finalización
15 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a 21°C high temperature in Tokyo on April 15 at 36% implied probability, closely tracking the Japan Meteorological Agency's (JMA) latest forecast issued April 14 afternoon, which projects a daytime maximum of 21°C under cloudy skies with occasional scattered showers later. Persistent cloud cover will suppress solar insolation and daytime heating, aligning outcomes near the seasonal normal maximum of 19.5°C while mild southerly flows support slight elevations into the 20–22°C range favored by 80% of probabilities. Recent two-week JMA temperature outlooks indicated "very high" potential earlier in the week, but today's shift to precipitation probabilities refined trader positioning. Watch for the next JMA three-hourly update overnight, with resolution based on official Tokyo Haneda Airport observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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