PAGASA's 8:00 AM update for April 15 forecasts a 34°C high in Metro Manila under clear skies and a high-pressure ridge extending from the north, with current morning readings at 30°C in Quezon City amid 0% rain chance, anchoring trader sentiment in the mid-30s cluster. Evenly matched 23.5% implied probabilities across 32–38°C reflect scientific uncertainty from variable sea breeze timing—which can cap peaks by 1–2°C during afternoon hours—isolated cumulus clouds, and urban heat island amplification in dense city areas versus official Science Garden observatory measurements. Historical April maxima average 33–34°C; watch real-time PAGASA hourly data through 1–3 PM peak heating for resolution shifts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Manila on April 15?
Highest temperature in Manila on April 15?
32°C 24%
33°C 24%
34°C 24%
35°C 24%
NUEVO
NUEVO
15 abr 2026
29°C or below
2%
30°C
1%
31°C
3%
32°C
24%
33°C
24%
34°C
24%
35°C
24%
36°C
24%
37°C
24%
38°C
24%
39°C or higher
10%
32°C 24%
33°C 24%
34°C 24%
35°C 24%
NUEVO
NUEVO
15 abr 2026
29°C or below
$379 Vol.
2%
30°C
$311 Vol.
1%
31°C
$215 Vol.
3%
32°C
$0 Vol.
24%
33°C
$0 Vol.
24%
34°C
$0 Vol.
24%
35°C
$0 Vol.
24%
36°C
$0 Vol.
24%
37°C
$0 Vol.
24%
38°C
$0 Vol.
24%
39°C or higher
$61 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.PAGASA's 8:00 AM update for April 15 forecasts a 34°C high in Metro Manila under clear skies and a high-pressure ridge extending from the north, with current morning readings at 30°C in Quezon City amid 0% rain chance, anchoring trader sentiment in the mid-30s cluster. Evenly matched 23.5% implied probabilities across 32–38°C reflect scientific uncertainty from variable sea breeze timing—which can cap peaks by 1–2°C during afternoon hours—isolated cumulus clouds, and urban heat island amplification in dense city areas versus official Science Garden observatory measurements. Historical April maxima average 33–34°C; watch real-time PAGASA hourly data through 1–3 PM peak heating for resolution shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 14, 2026, 6:05 PM ET
Volumen
$966Fecha de finalización
15 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 14, 2026, 6:05 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.PAGASA's 8:00 AM update for April 15 forecasts a 34°C high in Metro Manila under clear skies and a high-pressure ridge extending from the north, with current morning readings at 30°C in Quezon City amid 0% rain chance, anchoring trader sentiment in the mid-30s cluster. Evenly matched 23.5% implied probabilities across 32–38°C reflect scientific uncertainty from variable sea breeze timing—which can cap peaks by 1–2°C during afternoon hours—isolated cumulus clouds, and urban heat island amplification in dense city areas versus official Science Garden observatory measurements. Historical April maxima average 33–34°C; watch real-time PAGASA hourly data through 1–3 PM peak heating for resolution shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$966Fecha de finalización
15 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 14, 2026, 6:05 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...PAGASA's 8:00 AM update for April 15 forecasts a 34°C high in Metro Manila under clear skies and a high-pressure ridge extending from the north, with current morning readings at 30°C in Quezon City amid 0% rain chance, anchoring trader sentiment in the mid-30s cluster. Evenly matched 23.5% implied probabilities across 32–38°C reflect scientific uncertainty from variable sea breeze timing—which can cap peaks by 1–2°C during afternoon hours—isolated cumulus clouds, and urban heat island amplification in dense city areas versus official Science Garden observatory measurements. Historical April maxima average 33–34°C; watch real-time PAGASA hourly data through 1–3 PM peak heating for resolution shifts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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