Forecast model consensus from the China Meteorological Administration, GFS, and ECMWF points to a daytime high near 24°C in Chengdu on April 16 under overcast skies with possible patchy rain or isolated thunderstorms, mirroring recent days' 22–24°C highs amid persistent low-level moisture in the Sichuan Basin. This caps trader-implied probabilities at 25.5% for exactly 24°C and 25.0% for 26°C or higher, with 25°C at 18.5%, as partial afternoon clearing could boost solar insolation and diurnal heating beyond model means, while denser clouds limit peaks to 23°C or lower. April climatology averages ~22°C highs, but mild warming trends add uncertainty; evening updates and satellite cloud imagery will sharpen the outlook before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Chengdu on April 16?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on April 16?
26°C or higher 26%
24°C 25%
25°C 20%
23°C 15%
NUEVO
NUEVO
16 abr 2026
16°C or below
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
2%
19°C
2%
20°C
3%
21°C
6%
22°C
13%
23°C
15%
24°C
25%
25°C
27%
26°C or higher
26%
26°C or higher 26%
24°C 25%
25°C 20%
23°C 15%
NUEVO
NUEVO
16 abr 2026
16°C or below
$285 Vol.
1%
17°C
$186 Vol.
1%
18°C
$559 Vol.
2%
19°C
$591 Vol.
2%
20°C
$575 Vol.
3%
21°C
$331 Vol.
6%
22°C
$77 Vol.
13%
23°C
$50 Vol.
15%
24°C
$41 Vol.
25%
25°C
$45 Vol.
27%
26°C or higher
$5 Vol.
26%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Forecast model consensus from the China Meteorological Administration, GFS, and ECMWF points to a daytime high near 24°C in Chengdu on April 16 under overcast skies with possible patchy rain or isolated thunderstorms, mirroring recent days' 22–24°C highs amid persistent low-level moisture in the Sichuan Basin. This caps trader-implied probabilities at 25.5% for exactly 24°C and 25.0% for 26°C or higher, with 25°C at 18.5%, as partial afternoon clearing could boost solar insolation and diurnal heating beyond model means, while denser clouds limit peaks to 23°C or lower. April climatology averages ~22°C highs, but mild warming trends add uncertainty; evening updates and satellite cloud imagery will sharpen the outlook before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 14, 2026, 6:09 PM ET
Volumen
$2,739Fecha de finalización
16 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 14, 2026, 6:09 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Forecast model consensus from the China Meteorological Administration, GFS, and ECMWF points to a daytime high near 24°C in Chengdu on April 16 under overcast skies with possible patchy rain or isolated thunderstorms, mirroring recent days' 22–24°C highs amid persistent low-level moisture in the Sichuan Basin. This caps trader-implied probabilities at 25.5% for exactly 24°C and 25.0% for 26°C or higher, with 25°C at 18.5%, as partial afternoon clearing could boost solar insolation and diurnal heating beyond model means, while denser clouds limit peaks to 23°C or lower. April climatology averages ~22°C highs, but mild warming trends add uncertainty; evening updates and satellite cloud imagery will sharpen the outlook before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$2,739Fecha de finalización
16 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 14, 2026, 6:09 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast model consensus from the China Meteorological Administration, GFS, and ECMWF points to a daytime high near 24°C in Chengdu on April 16 under overcast skies with possible patchy rain or isolated thunderstorms, mirroring recent days' 22–24°C highs amid persistent low-level moisture in the Sichuan Basin. This caps trader-implied probabilities at 25.5% for exactly 24°C and 25.0% for 26°C or higher, with 25°C at 18.5%, as partial afternoon clearing could boost solar insolation and diurnal heating beyond model means, while denser clouds limit peaks to 23°C or lower. April climatology averages ~22°C highs, but mild warming trends add uncertainty; evening updates and satellite cloud imagery will sharpen the outlook before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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