Latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) and global models including GFS and ECMWF converge on a daytime high near 24°C in Chengdu today, driving trader consensus toward that outcome at 42.5% implied probability, with 25°C (25.5%) and 23°C (23.5%) close behind. This follows yesterday's observed high of 26°C, but increased cloud cover, early showers, and 45% precipitation chance—per extended outlooks—are expected to suppress solar heating in the Sichuan Basin's humid spring conditions. Historical April highs average 22–26°C, providing context for the tight clustering around mid-20s; overcast skies introduce uncertainty, as any afternoon clearing could push toward 25°C. Monitor CMA hourly updates and official station observations for intraday shifts before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Chengdu el 15 de abril?
¿La temperatura más alta en Chengdu el 15 de abril?
24°C 44%
23°C 25%
25°C 23%
22°C 7%
$43,866 Vol.
$43,866 Vol.
17°C o menos
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
7%
23°C
25%
24°C
44%
25°C
23%
26°C
3%
27°C o más
1%
24°C 44%
23°C 25%
25°C 23%
22°C 7%
$43,866 Vol.
$43,866 Vol.
17°C o menos
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
7%
23°C
25%
24°C
44%
25°C
23%
26°C
3%
27°C o más
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 13, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) and global models including GFS and ECMWF converge on a daytime high near 24°C in Chengdu today, driving trader consensus toward that outcome at 42.5% implied probability, with 25°C (25.5%) and 23°C (23.5%) close behind. This follows yesterday's observed high of 26°C, but increased cloud cover, early showers, and 45% precipitation chance—per extended outlooks—are expected to suppress solar heating in the Sichuan Basin's humid spring conditions. Historical April highs average 22–26°C, providing context for the tight clustering around mid-20s; overcast skies introduce uncertainty, as any afternoon clearing could push toward 25°C. Monitor CMA hourly updates and official station observations for intraday shifts before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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