Ensemble forecasts from leading global models like the ECMWF and GFS project Jeddah's highest temperature on April 16 at King Abdulaziz International Airport around 35–37°C, centering trader consensus on 36°C with a 45% implied probability amid clustered odds for 33–37°C outcomes. Jeddah's coastal desert climate, influenced by Red Sea sea breezes that moderate peaks under persistent subtropical high pressure, aligns with April climatological highs of 33–36°C, though low humidity and clear skies enhance daytime heating potential. Recent days show a warming trend from early April's cooler dips (near 32°C) toward seasonal norms, with a monthly anomaly of +0.6°C so far. Overnight model updates and tomorrow's observations could shift probabilities as resolution nears.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Jeddah on April 16?
Highest temperature in Jeddah on April 16?
36°C 45%
33°C 26%
34°C 26%
35°C 26%
30°C or below
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
2%
33°C
26%
34°C
26%
35°C
26%
36°C
45%
37°C
26%
38°C
9%
39°C
9%
40°C or higher
3%
36°C 45%
33°C 26%
34°C 26%
35°C 26%
30°C or below
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
2%
33°C
26%
34°C
26%
35°C
26%
36°C
45%
37°C
26%
38°C
9%
39°C
9%
40°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 14, 2026, 7:02 PM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ensemble forecasts from leading global models like the ECMWF and GFS project Jeddah's highest temperature on April 16 at King Abdulaziz International Airport around 35–37°C, centering trader consensus on 36°C with a 45% implied probability amid clustered odds for 33–37°C outcomes. Jeddah's coastal desert climate, influenced by Red Sea sea breezes that moderate peaks under persistent subtropical high pressure, aligns with April climatological highs of 33–36°C, though low humidity and clear skies enhance daytime heating potential. Recent days show a warming trend from early April's cooler dips (near 32°C) toward seasonal norms, with a monthly anomaly of +0.6°C so far. Overnight model updates and tomorrow's observations could shift probabilities as resolution nears.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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