Trader sentiment on Polymarket positions 18°C as the leading outcome at 44.5% implied probability for Paris's highest temperature today, edging out 19°C at 31%, driven by Météo-France's latest forecast of a 19°C maximum amid some sun turning cloudy conditions with light southwest winds. This reflects model consensus from ECMWF (slight warmer bias) and GFS, tempered by a cool morning start near 11°C and potential afternoon cloud development limiting peak heating, per official Paris-Montsouris station monitoring. Temperatures run 2–3°C above April norms of 16°C following yesterday's mild weather, with urban heat island effects adding minor uplift; resolution hinges on evening observations as heating peaks 2–5 p.m. local time.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en París el 15 de abril?
¿La temperatura más alta en París el 15 de abril?
18°C 44%
19°C 29%
17°C 15.4%
20°C 12%
$57,990 Vol.
$57,990 Vol.
15 abr 2026
14°C o menos
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
2%
17°C
15%
18°C
44%
19°C
29%
20°C
12%
21°C
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C o más
<1%
18°C 44%
19°C 29%
17°C 15.4%
20°C 12%
$57,990 Vol.
$57,990 Vol.
15 abr 2026
14°C o menos
$7,608 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$6,504 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$11,474 Vol.
2%
17°C
$9,273 Vol.
15%
18°C
$3,875 Vol.
44%
19°C
$3,496 Vol.
29%
20°C
$4,265 Vol.
12%
21°C
$5,780 Vol.
1%
22°C
$3,326 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$1,313 Vol.
<1%
24°C o más
$1,437 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader sentiment on Polymarket positions 18°C as the leading outcome at 44.5% implied probability for Paris's highest temperature today, edging out 19°C at 31%, driven by Météo-France's latest forecast of a 19°C maximum amid some sun turning cloudy conditions with light southwest winds. This reflects model consensus from ECMWF (slight warmer bias) and GFS, tempered by a cool morning start near 11°C and potential afternoon cloud development limiting peak heating, per official Paris-Montsouris station monitoring. Temperatures run 2–3°C above April norms of 16°C following yesterday's mild weather, with urban heat island effects adding minor uplift; resolution hinges on evening observations as heating peaks 2–5 p.m. local time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volumen
$57,990Fecha de finalización
15 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader sentiment on Polymarket positions 18°C as the leading outcome at 44.5% implied probability for Paris's highest temperature today, edging out 19°C at 31%, driven by Météo-France's latest forecast of a 19°C maximum amid some sun turning cloudy conditions with light southwest winds. This reflects model consensus from ECMWF (slight warmer bias) and GFS, tempered by a cool morning start near 11°C and potential afternoon cloud development limiting peak heating, per official Paris-Montsouris station monitoring. Temperatures run 2–3°C above April norms of 16°C following yesterday's mild weather, with urban heat island effects adding minor uplift; resolution hinges on evening observations as heating peaks 2–5 p.m. local time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$57,990Fecha de finalización
15 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment on Polymarket positions 18°C as the leading outcome at 44.5% implied probability for Paris's highest temperature today, edging out 19°C at 31%, driven by Météo-France's latest forecast of a 19°C maximum amid some sun turning cloudy conditions with light southwest winds. This reflects model consensus from ECMWF (slight warmer bias) and GFS, tempered by a cool morning start near 11°C and potential afternoon cloud development limiting peak heating, per official Paris-Montsouris station monitoring. Temperatures run 2–3°C above April norms of 16°C following yesterday's mild weather, with urban heat island effects adding minor uplift; resolution hinges on evening observations as heating peaks 2–5 p.m. local time.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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