Trader consensus favors 18°C or higher at 53% implied probability for Seoul's highest temperature on April 17, driven by the latest Korea Meteorological Administration short-term forecasts projecting highs near 18–20°C under mostly cloudy skies with light southerly winds and low precipitation risk. This aligns with mid-April climatology, where Seoul averages 17°C highs amid spring warming trends, though inherent model uncertainty from potential cold air intrusions from the north elevates bets on cooler bins like 10°C and 12°C (both 35.5%). Recent observations show highs of 16–17°C over the past 48 hours amid variable cloud cover, reflecting erratic April patterns. KMA updates tomorrow may refine ensemble model spreads before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Seoul on April 17?
Highest temperature in Seoul on April 17?
18°C or higher 35%
16°C 20%
15°C 18%
14°C 17%
NUEVO
NUEVO
17 abr 2026
8°C or below
1%
9°C
3%
10°C
1%
11°C
2%
12°C
3%
13°C
6%
14°C
17%
15°C
18%
16°C
20%
17°C
16%
18°C or higher
35%
18°C or higher 35%
16°C 20%
15°C 18%
14°C 17%
NUEVO
NUEVO
17 abr 2026
8°C or below
$358 Vol.
1%
9°C
$453 Vol.
3%
10°C
$24 Vol.
1%
11°C
$24 Vol.
2%
12°C
$75 Vol.
3%
13°C
$178 Vol.
6%
14°C
$18 Vol.
17%
15°C
$22 Vol.
18%
16°C
$13 Vol.
20%
17°C
$32 Vol.
16%
18°C or higher
$232 Vol.
35%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus favors 18°C or higher at 53% implied probability for Seoul's highest temperature on April 17, driven by the latest Korea Meteorological Administration short-term forecasts projecting highs near 18–20°C under mostly cloudy skies with light southerly winds and low precipitation risk. This aligns with mid-April climatology, where Seoul averages 17°C highs amid spring warming trends, though inherent model uncertainty from potential cold air intrusions from the north elevates bets on cooler bins like 10°C and 12°C (both 35.5%). Recent observations show highs of 16–17°C over the past 48 hours amid variable cloud cover, reflecting erratic April patterns. KMA updates tomorrow may refine ensemble model spreads before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volumen
$1,224Fecha de finalización
17 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus favors 18°C or higher at 53% implied probability for Seoul's highest temperature on April 17, driven by the latest Korea Meteorological Administration short-term forecasts projecting highs near 18–20°C under mostly cloudy skies with light southerly winds and low precipitation risk. This aligns with mid-April climatology, where Seoul averages 17°C highs amid spring warming trends, though inherent model uncertainty from potential cold air intrusions from the north elevates bets on cooler bins like 10°C and 12°C (both 35.5%). Recent observations show highs of 16–17°C over the past 48 hours amid variable cloud cover, reflecting erratic April patterns. KMA updates tomorrow may refine ensemble model spreads before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$1,224Fecha de finalización
17 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors 18°C or higher at 53% implied probability for Seoul's highest temperature on April 17, driven by the latest Korea Meteorological Administration short-term forecasts projecting highs near 18–20°C under mostly cloudy skies with light southerly winds and low precipitation risk. This aligns with mid-April climatology, where Seoul averages 17°C highs amid spring warming trends, though inherent model uncertainty from potential cold air intrusions from the north elevates bets on cooler bins like 10°C and 12°C (both 35.5%). Recent observations show highs of 16–17°C over the past 48 hours amid variable cloud cover, reflecting erratic April patterns. KMA updates tomorrow may refine ensemble model spreads before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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