Latest forecast ensembles from global models like GFS and ECMWF, as reflected in services such as timeanddate.com's CustomWeather data, project Chengdu's highest temperature on April 17 at around 28°C under partly cloudy skies, low 31% humidity, and light winds, driving trader consensus toward that outcome at 20.5% implied probability. This marks a warming trend from April 15's observed high near 23–24°C amid cloudy conditions, per China Meteorological Administration updates, with BBC forecasts aligning at 27°C sunny. Differentiating factors include model spread on afternoon cloud development and subsidence from an upper-level ridge boosting highs above the late-April climatological average of 24°C at Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport. New CMA bulletins and model runs expected daily could refine this uncertainty before resolution.