Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a highest temperature of 23°C at 39.5% implied probability for Buenos Aires today, driven by the latest forecast models including AccuWeather's projection of 74°F (23°C) under humid conditions with partial sun turning cloudy. This aligns with Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) guidance and GFS/ECMWF ensemble runs showing peaks between 22–24°C amid a weakening autumn high-pressure ridge, typical for mid-April when average highs hover around 22°C. Yesterday's milder readings and increasing cloud cover cap upside potential, while low rain odds preserve warmth; real-time observations from Aeroparque station will sharpen resolution as the afternoon progresses, with uncertainties from any convective activity.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 15?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 15?
23°C 40%
22°C 25%
24°C 21%
21°C 14.3%
$40,170 Vol.
$40,170 Vol.
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
3%
21°C
14%
22°C
25%
23°C
40%
24°C
21%
25°C
3%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C or higher
<1%
23°C 40%
22°C 25%
24°C 21%
21°C 14.3%
$40,170 Vol.
$40,170 Vol.
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
3%
21°C
14%
22°C
25%
23°C
40%
24°C
21%
25°C
3%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a highest temperature of 23°C at 39.5% implied probability for Buenos Aires today, driven by the latest forecast models including AccuWeather's projection of 74°F (23°C) under humid conditions with partial sun turning cloudy. This aligns with Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) guidance and GFS/ECMWF ensemble runs showing peaks between 22–24°C amid a weakening autumn high-pressure ridge, typical for mid-April when average highs hover around 22°C. Yesterday's milder readings and increasing cloud cover cap upside potential, while low rain odds preserve warmth; real-time observations from Aeroparque station will sharpen resolution as the afternoon progresses, with uncertainties from any convective activity.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes