Trader consensus favors 82-83°F (37.5%) slightly over 80-81°F (32.5%) for Miami's highest temperature on April 5, driven by National Weather Service guidance and NOAA's GFS/ECMWF ensembles clustering around 81°F amid a weak upper-level ridge promoting subsidence and daytime heating. Differentiating factors include model spread on sea breeze timing and afternoon shower potential—persistent marine stratus or isolated thunderstorms could cap peaks at 80-81°F, while sunnier breaks favor 82-83°F—against April climatological averages of 82°F at Miami International Airport. Breezy east winds around 10-15 mph add uncertainty to diurnal maximums. Daily NWS forecast updates through April 4 will refine probabilities as observations refine short-range guidance.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Miami on April 5?
Highest temperature in Miami on April 5?
80-81°F 36%
82-83°F 36%
78-79°F 14%
84-85°F 13%
NUEVO
NUEVO
5 abr 2026
73°F or below
1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
3%
78-79°F
14%
80-81°F
36%
82-83°F
36%
84-85°F
13%
86-87°F
3%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F or higher
<1%
80-81°F 36%
82-83°F 36%
78-79°F 14%
84-85°F 13%
NUEVO
NUEVO
5 abr 2026
73°F or below
$772 Vol.
1%
74-75°F
$251 Vol.
1%
76-77°F
$362 Vol.
3%
78-79°F
$325 Vol.
14%
80-81°F
$458 Vol.
36%
82-83°F
$939 Vol.
36%
84-85°F
$296 Vol.
13%
86-87°F
$195 Vol.
3%
88-89°F
$239 Vol.
2%
90-91°F
$290 Vol.
<1%
92°F or higher
$314 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus favors 82-83°F (37.5%) slightly over 80-81°F (32.5%) for Miami's highest temperature on April 5, driven by National Weather Service guidance and NOAA's GFS/ECMWF ensembles clustering around 81°F amid a weak upper-level ridge promoting subsidence and daytime heating. Differentiating factors include model spread on sea breeze timing and afternoon shower potential—persistent marine stratus or isolated thunderstorms could cap peaks at 80-81°F, while sunnier breaks favor 82-83°F—against April climatological averages of 82°F at Miami International Airport. Breezy east winds around 10-15 mph add uncertainty to diurnal maximums. Daily NWS forecast updates through April 4 will refine probabilities as observations refine short-range guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Volumen
$4,440Fecha de finalización
5 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus favors 82-83°F (37.5%) slightly over 80-81°F (32.5%) for Miami's highest temperature on April 5, driven by National Weather Service guidance and NOAA's GFS/ECMWF ensembles clustering around 81°F amid a weak upper-level ridge promoting subsidence and daytime heating. Differentiating factors include model spread on sea breeze timing and afternoon shower potential—persistent marine stratus or isolated thunderstorms could cap peaks at 80-81°F, while sunnier breaks favor 82-83°F—against April climatological averages of 82°F at Miami International Airport. Breezy east winds around 10-15 mph add uncertainty to diurnal maximums. Daily NWS forecast updates through April 4 will refine probabilities as observations refine short-range guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$4,440Fecha de finalización
5 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors 82-83°F (37.5%) slightly over 80-81°F (32.5%) for Miami's highest temperature on April 5, driven by National Weather Service guidance and NOAA's GFS/ECMWF ensembles clustering around 81°F amid a weak upper-level ridge promoting subsidence and daytime heating. Differentiating factors include model spread on sea breeze timing and afternoon shower potential—persistent marine stratus or isolated thunderstorms could cap peaks at 80-81°F, while sunnier breaks favor 82-83°F—against April climatological averages of 82°F at Miami International Airport. Breezy east winds around 10-15 mph add uncertainty to diurnal maximums. Daily NWS forecast updates through April 4 will refine probabilities as observations refine short-range guidance.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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