Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the wide spread in latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts for Milan's highest temperature on April 17, with model means clustering around 23°C but projections spanning 20-25°C, closely matching the top outcomes at 24°C (34.5%) and 23°C (25.5%). This uncertainty stems from variable cloud cover under a building high-pressure ridge over Italy, which favors above-average spring warmth—historical April highs average 17-19°C at Milano Linate Airport—tempered by potential afternoon haze or light showers in the Po Valley. Southerly winds could boost peaks toward 24-25°C, while thicker clouds favor 22-23°C; watch ARPA Lombardia updates and hourly model runs today for shifts ahead of resolution via official station data.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Milan on April 17?
Highest temperature in Milan on April 17?
24°C 34%
23°C 25%
22°C 17%
25°C 16%
NUEVO
NUEVO
17 abr 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
7%
22°C
17%
23°C
25%
24°C
34%
25°C
16%
26°C
7%
27°C
2%
28°C or higher
1%
24°C 34%
23°C 25%
22°C 17%
25°C 16%
NUEVO
NUEVO
17 abr 2026
18°C or below
$1,978 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$858 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$1,006 Vol.
1%
21°C
$747 Vol.
7%
22°C
$658 Vol.
17%
23°C
$399 Vol.
25%
24°C
$322 Vol.
34%
25°C
$398 Vol.
16%
26°C
$990 Vol.
7%
27°C
$781 Vol.
2%
28°C or higher
$591 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the wide spread in latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts for Milan's highest temperature on April 17, with model means clustering around 23°C but projections spanning 20-25°C, closely matching the top outcomes at 24°C (34.5%) and 23°C (25.5%). This uncertainty stems from variable cloud cover under a building high-pressure ridge over Italy, which favors above-average spring warmth—historical April highs average 17-19°C at Milano Linate Airport—tempered by potential afternoon haze or light showers in the Po Valley. Southerly winds could boost peaks toward 24-25°C, while thicker clouds favor 22-23°C; watch ARPA Lombardia updates and hourly model runs today for shifts ahead of resolution via official station data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volumen
$8,641Fecha de finalización
17 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the wide spread in latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts for Milan's highest temperature on April 17, with model means clustering around 23°C but projections spanning 20-25°C, closely matching the top outcomes at 24°C (34.5%) and 23°C (25.5%). This uncertainty stems from variable cloud cover under a building high-pressure ridge over Italy, which favors above-average spring warmth—historical April highs average 17-19°C at Milano Linate Airport—tempered by potential afternoon haze or light showers in the Po Valley. Southerly winds could boost peaks toward 24-25°C, while thicker clouds favor 22-23°C; watch ARPA Lombardia updates and hourly model runs today for shifts ahead of resolution via official station data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$8,641Fecha de finalización
17 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the wide spread in latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts for Milan's highest temperature on April 17, with model means clustering around 23°C but projections spanning 20-25°C, closely matching the top outcomes at 24°C (34.5%) and 23°C (25.5%). This uncertainty stems from variable cloud cover under a building high-pressure ridge over Italy, which favors above-average spring warmth—historical April highs average 17-19°C at Milano Linate Airport—tempered by potential afternoon haze or light showers in the Po Valley. Southerly winds could boost peaks toward 24-25°C, while thicker clouds favor 22-23°C; watch ARPA Lombardia updates and hourly model runs today for shifts ahead of resolution via official station data.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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