Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors highs of 33°C (30.5% implied probability), 34°C (26%), and 35°C (22%) for Panama City at Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport, driven by the latest GFS and ECMWF model runs projecting peak afternoon temperatures around 33-34°C under a persistent high-pressure ridge over Central America. This setup features partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds at 10-15 mph limiting sea breeze cooling, and low precipitation risk typical of late dry-season conditions, pushing above the April historical average of 32°C. Differentiating factors include model spread from variable cloud timing and urban heat effects at the airport site, with minor divergences (±1°C) reflecting inherent short-range forecast uncertainty; new hourly guidance expected midday April 16 could refine positioning before resolution tomorrow.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en la ciudad de Panamá el 17 de abril?
¿La temperatura más alta en la ciudad de Panamá el 17 de abril?
33°C 32%
35°C 17%
32°C 15%
34°C 10%
28°C o menos
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
5%
32°C
15%
33°C
32%
34°C
19%
35°C
24%
36°C
5%
37°C
1%
38°C o más
1%
33°C 32%
35°C 17%
32°C 15%
34°C 10%
28°C o menos
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
5%
32°C
15%
33°C
32%
34°C
19%
35°C
24%
36°C
5%
37°C
1%
38°C o más
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 15, 2026, 6:06 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors highs of 33°C (30.5% implied probability), 34°C (26%), and 35°C (22%) for Panama City at Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport, driven by the latest GFS and ECMWF model runs projecting peak afternoon temperatures around 33-34°C under a persistent high-pressure ridge over Central America. This setup features partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds at 10-15 mph limiting sea breeze cooling, and low precipitation risk typical of late dry-season conditions, pushing above the April historical average of 32°C. Differentiating factors include model spread from variable cloud timing and urban heat effects at the airport site, with minor divergences (±1°C) reflecting inherent short-range forecast uncertainty; new hourly guidance expected midday April 16 could refine positioning before resolution tomorrow.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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