Trader consensus on Polymarket-implied odds favors a high of 66-67°F at 33% for San Francisco on April 19, closely trailed by 64-65°F at 23.5%, reflecting ensemble forecast spread from recent GFS and ECMWF model runs clustering around 65-67°F amid persistent marine layer influence. The National Weather Service guidance highlights partly cloudy skies with light onshore winds (5-10 mph) and a strengthening upper-level ridge, potentially limiting peak solar heating via cool Pacific air advection and stratus clouds common in April's climatology (historical highs average 64°F, rarely exceeding 70°F). Differentiation hinges on inversion strength: deeper marine layer caps at 64-65°F, while partial clearing boosts to 68-69°F. New 12Z model outputs and NWS updates expected Sunday morning could refine probabilities before resolution at SFO airport.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in San Francisco on April 19?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on April 19?
66-67°F 35%
64-65°F 25%
68-69°F 17%
62-63°F 14%
NUEVO
NUEVO
19 abr 2026
51°F or below
<1%
52-53°F
1%
54-55°F
1%
56-57°F
1%
58-59°F
3%
60-61°F
7%
62-63°F
14%
64-65°F
25%
66-67°F
35%
68-69°F
17%
70°F or higher
6%
66-67°F 35%
64-65°F 25%
68-69°F 17%
62-63°F 14%
NUEVO
NUEVO
19 abr 2026
51°F or below
$394 Vol.
<1%
52-53°F
$413 Vol.
1%
54-55°F
$486 Vol.
1%
56-57°F
$290 Vol.
1%
58-59°F
$108 Vol.
3%
60-61°F
$86 Vol.
7%
62-63°F
$54 Vol.
14%
64-65°F
$128 Vol.
25%
66-67°F
$136 Vol.
35%
68-69°F
$127 Vol.
17%
70°F or higher
$201 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket-implied odds favors a high of 66-67°F at 33% for San Francisco on April 19, closely trailed by 64-65°F at 23.5%, reflecting ensemble forecast spread from recent GFS and ECMWF model runs clustering around 65-67°F amid persistent marine layer influence. The National Weather Service guidance highlights partly cloudy skies with light onshore winds (5-10 mph) and a strengthening upper-level ridge, potentially limiting peak solar heating via cool Pacific air advection and stratus clouds common in April's climatology (historical highs average 64°F, rarely exceeding 70°F). Differentiation hinges on inversion strength: deeper marine layer caps at 64-65°F, while partial clearing boosts to 68-69°F. New 12Z model outputs and NWS updates expected Sunday morning could refine probabilities before resolution at SFO airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 17, 2026, 12:44 AM ET
Volumen
$2,421Fecha de finalización
19 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 17, 2026, 12:44 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket-implied odds favors a high of 66-67°F at 33% for San Francisco on April 19, closely trailed by 64-65°F at 23.5%, reflecting ensemble forecast spread from recent GFS and ECMWF model runs clustering around 65-67°F amid persistent marine layer influence. The National Weather Service guidance highlights partly cloudy skies with light onshore winds (5-10 mph) and a strengthening upper-level ridge, potentially limiting peak solar heating via cool Pacific air advection and stratus clouds common in April's climatology (historical highs average 64°F, rarely exceeding 70°F). Differentiation hinges on inversion strength: deeper marine layer caps at 64-65°F, while partial clearing boosts to 68-69°F. New 12Z model outputs and NWS updates expected Sunday morning could refine probabilities before resolution at SFO airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$2,421Fecha de finalización
19 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 17, 2026, 12:44 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket-implied odds favors a high of 66-67°F at 33% for San Francisco on April 19, closely trailed by 64-65°F at 23.5%, reflecting ensemble forecast spread from recent GFS and ECMWF model runs clustering around 65-67°F amid persistent marine layer influence. The National Weather Service guidance highlights partly cloudy skies with light onshore winds (5-10 mph) and a strengthening upper-level ridge, potentially limiting peak solar heating via cool Pacific air advection and stratus clouds common in April's climatology (historical highs average 64°F, rarely exceeding 70°F). Differentiation hinges on inversion strength: deeper marine layer caps at 64-65°F, while partial clearing boosts to 68-69°F. New 12Z model outputs and NWS updates expected Sunday morning could refine probabilities before resolution at SFO airport.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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