Trader consensus assigns virtually 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 29°C in São Paulo on April 25, driven by preliminary observational data from the resolution source—Weather Underground's records at São Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport (SBGR) station—showing peak METAR readings near 29°C under sunny skies and low humidity (30–50%). INMET and CPTEC/INPE forecasts aligned with this, projecting 28–30°C maxima amid a stable high-pressure system that elevated autumn norms (typically 25–27°C) via enhanced solar insolation but capped extremes with light winds and afternoon clouds. Realistic challenges include minor post-processing corrections to SBGR data pushing it to 30°C, though unlikely given model consensus; final daily summary expected soon.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on April 25?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on April 25?
29°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$232,253 Vol.
$232,253 Vol.
25 abr 2026
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
29°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$232,253 Vol.
$232,253 Vol.
25 abr 2026
25°C or below
$1,515 Vol.
No
26°C
$2,388 Vol.
No
27°C
$4,448 Vol.
No
28°C
$8,223 Vol.
No
29°C
$20,629 Vol.
Yes
30°C
$6,411 Vol.
No
31°C
$5,753 Vol.
No
32°C
$175,349 Vol.
No
33°C
$2,895 Vol.
No
34°C
$2,263 Vol.
No
35°C or higher
$2,378 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus assigns virtually 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 29°C in São Paulo on April 25, driven by preliminary observational data from the resolution source—Weather Underground's records at São Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport (SBGR) station—showing peak METAR readings near 29°C under sunny skies and low humidity (30–50%). INMET and CPTEC/INPE forecasts aligned with this, projecting 28–30°C maxima amid a stable high-pressure system that elevated autumn norms (typically 25–27°C) via enhanced solar insolation but capped extremes with light winds and afternoon clouds. Realistic challenges include minor post-processing corrections to SBGR data pushing it to 30°C, though unlikely given model consensus; final daily summary expected soon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 23, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volumen
$232,253Fecha de finalización
25 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 23, 2026, 12:28 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus assigns virtually 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 29°C in São Paulo on April 25, driven by preliminary observational data from the resolution source—Weather Underground's records at São Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport (SBGR) station—showing peak METAR readings near 29°C under sunny skies and low humidity (30–50%). INMET and CPTEC/INPE forecasts aligned with this, projecting 28–30°C maxima amid a stable high-pressure system that elevated autumn norms (typically 25–27°C) via enhanced solar insolation but capped extremes with light winds and afternoon clouds. Realistic challenges include minor post-processing corrections to SBGR data pushing it to 30°C, though unlikely given model consensus; final daily summary expected soon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$232,253Fecha de finalización
25 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 23, 2026, 12:28 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Trader consensus assigns virtually 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 29°C in São Paulo on April 25, driven by preliminary observational data from the resolution source—Weather Underground's records at São Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport (SBGR) station—showing peak METAR readings near 29°C under sunny skies and low humidity (30–50%). INMET and CPTEC/INPE forecasts aligned with this, projecting 28–30°C maxima amid a stable high-pressure system that elevated autumn norms (typically 25–27°C) via enhanced solar insolation but capped extremes with light winds and afternoon clouds. Realistic challenges include minor post-processing corrections to SBGR data pushing it to 30°C, though unlikely given model consensus; final daily summary expected soon.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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