Trader sentiment on Seoul's March 23 high temperature tilts modestly toward 16°C or higher at 25%, edging out 15°C at 22.5%, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts projecting peaks of 14-17°C amid southerly warm air advection from high-pressure ridging over the Korean Peninsula. These models differentiate outcomes through uncertainties in afternoon cloud cover and boundary layer mixing, which could suppress peaks to 13-14°C if low-level stratus persists, as hinted in KMA short-range guidance. March climatology averages 11-13°C highs, but recent mild spells and urban heat island effects in Seoul bolster warmer odds, with NWP updates expected by March 22 to sharpen resolution criteria.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Seúl el 23 de marzo?
¿La temperatura más alta en Seúl el 23 de marzo?
16°C o más 26%
15°C 22%
13°C 19%
14°C 19%
$10,708 Vol.
$10,708 Vol.
6°C o menos
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
1%
9°C
2%
10°C
3%
11°C
7%
12°C
10%
13°C
19%
14°C
19%
15°C
22%
16°C o más
26%
16°C o más 26%
15°C 22%
13°C 19%
14°C 19%
$10,708 Vol.
$10,708 Vol.
6°C o menos
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
1%
9°C
2%
10°C
3%
11°C
7%
12°C
10%
13°C
19%
14°C
19%
15°C
22%
16°C o más
26%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 19, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment on Seoul's March 23 high temperature tilts modestly toward 16°C or higher at 25%, edging out 15°C at 22.5%, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts projecting peaks of 14-17°C amid southerly warm air advection from high-pressure ridging over the Korean Peninsula. These models differentiate outcomes through uncertainties in afternoon cloud cover and boundary layer mixing, which could suppress peaks to 13-14°C if low-level stratus persists, as hinted in KMA short-range guidance. March climatology averages 11-13°C highs, but recent mild spells and urban heat island effects in Seoul bolster warmer odds, with NWP updates expected by March 22 to sharpen resolution criteria.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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