Ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA), European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF), and Global Forecast System (GFS) models cluster Shanghai's highest temperature on April 17 around 19–21°C, fueling tight competition among these outcomes with 20°C holding a 35% implied probability edge. A recent cold snap through April 12, driven by persistent northerly flows and cloud cover suppressing highs below 17°C, has eased as a weakening frontal boundary allows mild southerly advection and partial diurnal heating, though low-level moisture introduces 1–2°C model spread. April's climatological average high of 19°C underscores typical spring variability from coastal influences and sea breezes, with new 00Z/12Z model runs expected overnight to sharpen trader positioning before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Shanghai on April 17?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on April 17?
20°C 35%
21°C 27%
19°C 20%
22°C 13.0%
NUEVO
$16,955 Vol.
NUEVO
$16,955 Vol.
17 abr 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
4%
18°C
5%
19°C
20%
20°C
35%
21°C
27%
22°C
13%
23°C or higher
8%
20°C 35%
21°C 27%
19°C 20%
22°C 13.0%
NUEVO
$16,955 Vol.
NUEVO
$16,955 Vol.
17 abr 2026
13°C or below
$3,426 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$2,669 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$2,531 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$1,761 Vol.
1%
17°C
$891 Vol.
4%
18°C
$821 Vol.
5%
19°C
$403 Vol.
20%
20°C
$674 Vol.
35%
21°C
$596 Vol.
27%
22°C
$1,298 Vol.
13%
23°C or higher
$1,893 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA), European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF), and Global Forecast System (GFS) models cluster Shanghai's highest temperature on April 17 around 19–21°C, fueling tight competition among these outcomes with 20°C holding a 35% implied probability edge. A recent cold snap through April 12, driven by persistent northerly flows and cloud cover suppressing highs below 17°C, has eased as a weakening frontal boundary allows mild southerly advection and partial diurnal heating, though low-level moisture introduces 1–2°C model spread. April's climatological average high of 19°C underscores typical spring variability from coastal influences and sea breezes, with new 00Z/12Z model runs expected overnight to sharpen trader positioning before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volumen
$16,955Fecha de finalización
17 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA), European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF), and Global Forecast System (GFS) models cluster Shanghai's highest temperature on April 17 around 19–21°C, fueling tight competition among these outcomes with 20°C holding a 35% implied probability edge. A recent cold snap through April 12, driven by persistent northerly flows and cloud cover suppressing highs below 17°C, has eased as a weakening frontal boundary allows mild southerly advection and partial diurnal heating, though low-level moisture introduces 1–2°C model spread. April's climatological average high of 19°C underscores typical spring variability from coastal influences and sea breezes, with new 00Z/12Z model runs expected overnight to sharpen trader positioning before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$16,955Fecha de finalización
17 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA), European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF), and Global Forecast System (GFS) models cluster Shanghai's highest temperature on April 17 around 19–21°C, fueling tight competition among these outcomes with 20°C holding a 35% implied probability edge. A recent cold snap through April 12, driven by persistent northerly flows and cloud cover suppressing highs below 17°C, has eased as a weakening frontal boundary allows mild southerly advection and partial diurnal heating, though low-level moisture introduces 1–2°C model spread. April's climatological average high of 19°C underscores typical spring variability from coastal influences and sea breezes, with new 00Z/12Z model runs expected overnight to sharpen trader positioning before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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