Latest numerical weather prediction models from ECMWF and GFS, corroborated by China's National Meteorological Center, project Wuhan's highest temperature on March 20 at around 14°C, driving its dominant 67.5% implied probability amid a mild early-spring pattern following a recent cold snap. Historical March highs in the city average 15-16°C, but persistent northerly flows and cloudy skies cap upside potential, positioning 16°C (20%) and 18°C or higher (22.5%) as secondary contenders if diurnal heating strengthens. Trader sentiment shifted upward for warmer outcomes after yesterday's 12°C high exceeded early-week lows, though low-confidence ensemble spreads highlight forecast uncertainty typical of transitional seasons.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Wuhan el 20 de marzo?
¿La temperatura más alta en Wuhan el 20 de marzo?
14°C 89%
18°C o más 24%
15°C 5%
16°C 1%
$14,171 Vol.
$14,171 Vol.
8°C o menos
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
89%
15°C
5%
16°C
10%
17°C
1%
18°C o más
24%
14°C 89%
18°C o más 24%
15°C 5%
16°C 1%
$14,171 Vol.
$14,171 Vol.
8°C o menos
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
89%
15°C
5%
16°C
10%
17°C
1%
18°C o más
24%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 19, 2026, 6:52 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction models from ECMWF and GFS, corroborated by China's National Meteorological Center, project Wuhan's highest temperature on March 20 at around 14°C, driving its dominant 67.5% implied probability amid a mild early-spring pattern following a recent cold snap. Historical March highs in the city average 15-16°C, but persistent northerly flows and cloudy skies cap upside potential, positioning 16°C (20%) and 18°C or higher (22.5%) as secondary contenders if diurnal heating strengthens. Trader sentiment shifted upward for warmer outcomes after yesterday's 12°C high exceeded early-week lows, though low-confidence ensemble spreads highlight forecast uncertainty typical of transitional seasons.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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