Republicans currently hold 26 governorships to Democrats’ 24 ahead of November’s 36 races, which feature an even split of 18 seats per party plus numerous open contests from term limits and retirements. Forecasters and traders see the post-election total settling in the low-to-mid 20s because Democrats hold defensive advantages in several Trump-won states while targeting vulnerable Republican-held or open seats in Nevada, Georgia, and Iowa; Republicans’ clearest pickup opportunities lie in Kansas, Wisconsin, and Arizona. Recent rating shifts have moved Florida and Texas closer to toss-up status and Alaska toward lean Democratic, widening the range of plausible outcomes around the current 26-24 balance and supporting market emphasis on 22–25 Republican governors.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Cuántos gobernadores republicanos después de las elecciones intermedias de 2026?
¿Cuántos gobernadores republicanos después de las elecciones intermedias de 2026?
22–23 35%
24–25 25%
<22 21%
26–27 18%
$696,458 Vol.
$696,458 Vol.
3 nov 2026
<22
21%
22–23
35%
24–25
25%
26–27
18%
28–29
4%
30–31
1%
32+
1%
22–23 35%
24–25 25%
<22 21%
26–27 18%
$696,458 Vol.
$696,458 Vol.
3 nov 2026
<22
$50,129 Vol.
21%
22–23
$10,593 Vol.
35%
24–25
$34,717 Vol.
25%
26–27
$18,266 Vol.
18%
28–29
$558,246 Vol.
4%
30–31
$8,633 Vol.
1%
32+
$15,875 Vol.
1%
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of United States governor’s seats that will be held by the Republican Party as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
For governor seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the governor was elected. If a governor-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, after election day, the seat is attributed to the party under which the individual was elected.
For seats not contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party that holds the seat as of the date of the election. If a current governor who is not up for election changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the governor was affiliated at the time of the election.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, and a consensus of credible reporting.Republicans currently hold 26 governorships to Democrats’ 24 ahead of November’s 36 races, which feature an even split of 18 seats per party plus numerous open contests from term limits and retirements. Forecasters and traders see the post-election total settling in the low-to-mid 20s because Democrats hold defensive advantages in several Trump-won states while targeting vulnerable Republican-held or open seats in Nevada, Georgia, and Iowa; Republicans’ clearest pickup opportunities lie in Kansas, Wisconsin, and Arizona. Recent rating shifts have moved Florida and Texas closer to toss-up status and Alaska toward lean Democratic, widening the range of plausible outcomes around the current 26-24 balance and supporting market emphasis on 22–25 Republican governors.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of United States governor’s seats that will be held by the Republican Party as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
For governor seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the governor was elected. If a governor-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, after election day, the seat is attributed to the party under which the individual was elected.
For seats not contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party that holds the seat as of the date of the election. If a current governor who is not up for election changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the governor was affiliated at the time of the election.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, and a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the number of United States governor’s seats that will be held by the Republican Party as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
For governor seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the governor was elected. If a governor-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, after election day, the seat is attributed to the party under which the individual was elected.
For seats not contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party that holds the seat as of the date of the election. If a current governor who is not up for election changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the governor was affiliated at the time of the election.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Dec 15, 2025, 8:21 AM ET
Volumen
$696,458Fecha de finalización
4 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 15, 2025, 8:21 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of United States governor’s seats that will be held by the Republican Party as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
For governor seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the governor was elected. If a governor-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, after election day, the seat is attributed to the party under which the individual was elected.
For seats not contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party that holds the seat as of the date of the election. If a current governor who is not up for election changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the governor was affiliated at the time of the election.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, and a consensus of credible reporting.Republicans currently hold 26 governorships to Democrats’ 24 ahead of November’s 36 races, which feature an even split of 18 seats per party plus numerous open contests from term limits and retirements. Forecasters and traders see the post-election total settling in the low-to-mid 20s because Democrats hold defensive advantages in several Trump-won states while targeting vulnerable Republican-held or open seats in Nevada, Georgia, and Iowa; Republicans’ clearest pickup opportunities lie in Kansas, Wisconsin, and Arizona. Recent rating shifts have moved Florida and Texas closer to toss-up status and Alaska toward lean Democratic, widening the range of plausible outcomes around the current 26-24 balance and supporting market emphasis on 22–25 Republican governors.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of United States governor’s seats that will be held by the Republican Party as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
For governor seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the governor was elected. If a governor-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, after election day, the seat is attributed to the party under which the individual was elected.
For seats not contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party that holds the seat as of the date of the election. If a current governor who is not up for election changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the governor was affiliated at the time of the election.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, and a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the number of United States governor’s seats that will be held by the Republican Party as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
For governor seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the governor was elected. If a governor-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, after election day, the seat is attributed to the party under which the individual was elected.
For seats not contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party that holds the seat as of the date of the election. If a current governor who is not up for election changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the governor was affiliated at the time of the election.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$696,458Fecha de finalización
4 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 15, 2025, 8:21 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republicans currently hold 26 governorships to Democrats’ 24 ahead of November’s 36 races, which feature an even split of 18 seats per party plus numerous open contests from term limits and retirements. Forecasters and traders see the post-election total settling in the low-to-mid 20s because Democrats hold defensive advantages in several Trump-won states while targeting vulnerable Republican-held or open seats in Nevada, Georgia, and Iowa; Republicans’ clearest pickup opportunities lie in Kansas, Wisconsin, and Arizona. Recent rating shifts have moved Florida and Texas closer to toss-up status and Alaska toward lean Democratic, widening the range of plausible outcomes around the current 26-24 balance and supporting market emphasis on 22–25 Republican governors.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoRelacionado
¿Tendrá el Partido Demócrata más gobernaciones después de las elecciones de mitad de período de 2026?
73%
Sí
¿No ganarán los titulares republicanos de la Cámara entre cuatro y seis elecciones de nominación en el ciclo de 2026?
97%
Sí
¿El Partido Republicano tendrá menos de 190 escaños en la Cámara después de las elecciones de mitad de mandato de 2026?
30%
Sí
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes