Republicans currently hold 26 governorships to Democrats’ 24 ahead of 36 contests in the 2026 midterms. Trader pricing clusters tightly around 22–25 seats because ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and others show a near-even split of 18 seats per party up for election, with several toss-ups and leans that favor modest Democratic gains. Key variables include open Republican-held seats in Georgia, Iowa, and Ohio, where Democratic candidates lead recent polls, alongside competitive defenses by Republican incumbents in Nevada and Arizona. Democratic open seats in Kansas and Wisconsin offer Republican pickup opportunities that offset some losses. Late-cycle polling shifts, primary outcomes, and national midterm dynamics remain the main catalysts that could push the final count outside the current 22–25 range.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado24–25 32%
22–23 26%
<22 18%
26–27 18%
$691,032 Vol.
$691,032 Vol.
2 nov 2026
<22
18%
22–23
26%
24–25
26%
26–27
18%
28–29
3%
30–31
1%
32+
<1%
24–25 32%
22–23 26%
<22 18%
26–27 18%
$691,032 Vol.
$691,032 Vol.
2 nov 2026
<22
$48,681 Vol.
18%
22–23
$9,325 Vol.
26%
24–25
$33,146 Vol.
26%
26–27
$18,081 Vol.
18%
28–29
$557,858 Vol.
3%
30–31
$8,342 Vol.
1%
32+
$15,599 Vol.
<1%
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of United States governor’s seats that will be held by the Republican Party as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
For governor seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the governor was elected. If a governor-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, after election day, the seat is attributed to the party under which the individual was elected.
For seats not contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party that holds the seat as of the date of the election. If a current governor who is not up for election changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the governor was affiliated at the time of the election.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, and a consensus of credible reporting.Republicans currently hold 26 governorships to Democrats’ 24 ahead of 36 contests in the 2026 midterms. Trader pricing clusters tightly around 22–25 seats because ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and others show a near-even split of 18 seats per party up for election, with several toss-ups and leans that favor modest Democratic gains. Key variables include open Republican-held seats in Georgia, Iowa, and Ohio, where Democratic candidates lead recent polls, alongside competitive defenses by Republican incumbents in Nevada and Arizona. Democratic open seats in Kansas and Wisconsin offer Republican pickup opportunities that offset some losses. Late-cycle polling shifts, primary outcomes, and national midterm dynamics remain the main catalysts that could push the final count outside the current 22–25 range.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of United States governor’s seats that will be held by the Republican Party as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
For governor seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the governor was elected. If a governor-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, after election day, the seat is attributed to the party under which the individual was elected.
For seats not contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party that holds the seat as of the date of the election. If a current governor who is not up for election changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the governor was affiliated at the time of the election.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, and a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the number of United States governor’s seats that will be held by the Republican Party as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
For governor seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the governor was elected. If a governor-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, after election day, the seat is attributed to the party under which the individual was elected.
For seats not contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party that holds the seat as of the date of the election. If a current governor who is not up for election changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the governor was affiliated at the time of the election.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Dec 15, 2025, 8:21 AM ET
Volumen
$691,032Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 15, 2025, 8:21 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of United States governor’s seats that will be held by the Republican Party as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
For governor seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the governor was elected. If a governor-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, after election day, the seat is attributed to the party under which the individual was elected.
For seats not contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party that holds the seat as of the date of the election. If a current governor who is not up for election changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the governor was affiliated at the time of the election.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, and a consensus of credible reporting.Republicans currently hold 26 governorships to Democrats’ 24 ahead of 36 contests in the 2026 midterms. Trader pricing clusters tightly around 22–25 seats because ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and others show a near-even split of 18 seats per party up for election, with several toss-ups and leans that favor modest Democratic gains. Key variables include open Republican-held seats in Georgia, Iowa, and Ohio, where Democratic candidates lead recent polls, alongside competitive defenses by Republican incumbents in Nevada and Arizona. Democratic open seats in Kansas and Wisconsin offer Republican pickup opportunities that offset some losses. Late-cycle polling shifts, primary outcomes, and national midterm dynamics remain the main catalysts that could push the final count outside the current 22–25 range.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of United States governor’s seats that will be held by the Republican Party as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
For governor seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the governor was elected. If a governor-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, after election day, the seat is attributed to the party under which the individual was elected.
For seats not contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party that holds the seat as of the date of the election. If a current governor who is not up for election changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the governor was affiliated at the time of the election.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, and a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the number of United States governor’s seats that will be held by the Republican Party as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
For governor seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the governor was elected. If a governor-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, after election day, the seat is attributed to the party under which the individual was elected.
For seats not contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party that holds the seat as of the date of the election. If a current governor who is not up for election changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the governor was affiliated at the time of the election.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$691,032Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 15, 2025, 8:21 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republicans currently hold 26 governorships to Democrats’ 24 ahead of 36 contests in the 2026 midterms. Trader pricing clusters tightly around 22–25 seats because ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and others show a near-even split of 18 seats per party up for election, with several toss-ups and leans that favor modest Democratic gains. Key variables include open Republican-held seats in Georgia, Iowa, and Ohio, where Democratic candidates lead recent polls, alongside competitive defenses by Republican incumbents in Nevada and Arizona. Democratic open seats in Kansas and Wisconsin offer Republican pickup opportunities that offset some losses. Late-cycle polling shifts, primary outcomes, and national midterm dynamics remain the main catalysts that could push the final count outside the current 22–25 range.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoRelacionado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes