Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Istanbul's overnight minimum on August 30 will likely settle near 20–22 °C, with the closely bunched market prices reflecting genuine uncertainty in radiative cooling rates under clearing skies and persistent northerly flow. A building high-pressure ridge and 15–25 km/h northeast winds are advecting slightly cooler maritime air while suppressing cloud cover after earlier showers, promoting greater overnight heat loss; dew points near 17–18 °C and surface pressure around 1016 hPa further modulate how low temperatures can drop before dawn. Minor model spread in wind timing and residual moisture explains why 20 °C, 21 °C, and 22 °C each command roughly equal implied probability, consistent with late-August climatology that rarely deviates more than 2–3 °C from these values.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más baja en Estambul el 30 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más baja en Estambul el 30 de agosto?
24°C 50%
25°C 50%
18°C 28%
21°C 28%
NUEVO
NUEVO
30 ago 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
10%
18°C
28%
19°C
26%
20°C
26%
21°C
28%
22°C
27%
23°C
27%
24°C
50%
25°C
50%
26°C or higher
<1%
24°C 50%
25°C 50%
18°C 28%
21°C 28%
NUEVO
NUEVO
30 ago 2026
16°C or below
$10 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$140 Vol.
10%
18°C
$10 Vol.
28%
19°C
$0 Vol.
26%
20°C
$0 Vol.
26%
21°C
$0 Vol.
28%
22°C
$5 Vol.
27%
23°C
$0 Vol.
27%
24°C
$20 Vol.
50%
25°C
$10 Vol.
50%
26°C or higher
$261 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Istanbul's overnight minimum on August 30 will likely settle near 20–22 °C, with the closely bunched market prices reflecting genuine uncertainty in radiative cooling rates under clearing skies and persistent northerly flow. A building high-pressure ridge and 15–25 km/h northeast winds are advecting slightly cooler maritime air while suppressing cloud cover after earlier showers, promoting greater overnight heat loss; dew points near 17–18 °C and surface pressure around 1016 hPa further modulate how low temperatures can drop before dawn. Minor model spread in wind timing and residual moisture explains why 20 °C, 21 °C, and 22 °C each command roughly equal implied probability, consistent with late-August climatology that rarely deviates more than 2–3 °C from these values.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volumen
$456Fecha de finalización
30 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Istanbul's overnight minimum on August 30 will likely settle near 20–22 °C, with the closely bunched market prices reflecting genuine uncertainty in radiative cooling rates under clearing skies and persistent northerly flow. A building high-pressure ridge and 15–25 km/h northeast winds are advecting slightly cooler maritime air while suppressing cloud cover after earlier showers, promoting greater overnight heat loss; dew points near 17–18 °C and surface pressure around 1016 hPa further modulate how low temperatures can drop before dawn. Minor model spread in wind timing and residual moisture explains why 20 °C, 21 °C, and 22 °C each command roughly equal implied probability, consistent with late-August climatology that rarely deviates more than 2–3 °C from these values.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$456Fecha de finalización
30 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Istanbul's overnight minimum on August 30 will likely settle near 20–22 °C, with the closely bunched market prices reflecting genuine uncertainty in radiative cooling rates under clearing skies and persistent northerly flow. A building high-pressure ridge and 15–25 km/h northeast winds are advecting slightly cooler maritime air while suppressing cloud cover after earlier showers, promoting greater overnight heat loss; dew points near 17–18 °C and surface pressure around 1016 hPa further modulate how low temperatures can drop before dawn. Minor model spread in wind timing and residual moisture explains why 20 °C, 21 °C, and 22 °C each command roughly equal implied probability, consistent with late-August climatology that rarely deviates more than 2–3 °C from these values.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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