Republican incumbent Greg Murphy faces Democrat Raymond Smith Jr. in the November 2026 general election for North Carolina’s 3rd congressional district. The seat’s strong Republican tilt—reflected in recent presidential results showing a double-digit margin for the GOP—underpins trader consensus that the Republican nominee holds a clear advantage. Smith secured the Democratic nomination in the March primary, but Cook Political Report and other forecasters rate the contest Solid Republican even after boundary adjustments that modestly shifted the district leftward. Murphy’s incumbency, fundraising edge, and the district’s coastal and rural voter base have limited Democratic inroads, leaving the race without major late-breaking shifts or competitive polling that would alter the implied probability.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoNC-03 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
NC-03 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$18,921 Vol.
$18,921 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
85%
Partido Demócrata
14%
$18,921 Vol.
$18,921 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$14,269 Vol.
85%
Partido Demócrata
$4,652 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Greg Murphy faces Democrat Raymond Smith Jr. in the November 2026 general election for North Carolina’s 3rd congressional district. The seat’s strong Republican tilt—reflected in recent presidential results showing a double-digit margin for the GOP—underpins trader consensus that the Republican nominee holds a clear advantage. Smith secured the Democratic nomination in the March primary, but Cook Political Report and other forecasters rate the contest Solid Republican even after boundary adjustments that modestly shifted the district leftward. Murphy’s incumbency, fundraising edge, and the district’s coastal and rural voter base have limited Democratic inroads, leaving the race without major late-breaking shifts or competitive polling that would alter the implied probability.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volumen
$18,921Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Greg Murphy faces Democrat Raymond Smith Jr. in the November 2026 general election for North Carolina’s 3rd congressional district. The seat’s strong Republican tilt—reflected in recent presidential results showing a double-digit margin for the GOP—underpins trader consensus that the Republican nominee holds a clear advantage. Smith secured the Democratic nomination in the March primary, but Cook Political Report and other forecasters rate the contest Solid Republican even after boundary adjustments that modestly shifted the district leftward. Murphy’s incumbency, fundraising edge, and the district’s coastal and rural voter base have limited Democratic inroads, leaving the race without major late-breaking shifts or competitive polling that would alter the implied probability.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$18,921Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Greg Murphy faces Democrat Raymond Smith Jr. in the November 2026 general election for North Carolina’s 3rd congressional district. The seat’s strong Republican tilt—reflected in recent presidential results showing a double-digit margin for the GOP—underpins trader consensus that the Republican nominee holds a clear advantage. Smith secured the Democratic nomination in the March primary, but Cook Political Report and other forecasters rate the contest Solid Republican even after boundary adjustments that modestly shifted the district leftward. Murphy’s incumbency, fundraising edge, and the district’s coastal and rural voter base have limited Democratic inroads, leaving the race without major late-breaking shifts or competitive polling that would alter the implied probability.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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