New Jersey’s 8th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, with voter registration favoring Democrats by more than four-to-one and minimal change from recent redistricting. Incumbent Democrat Rob Menendez secured his party’s nomination in the June 2026 primary and enters the general election with the structural advantages of incumbency, including established name recognition and fundraising. Forecasters rate the seat as safely Democratic, aligning with trader consensus reflected in the 94.5% implied probability for the Democratic nominee. A Republican victory would require an unusually large national midterm shift or a major local disruption, such as an unforeseen scandal or candidate withdrawal, neither of which has materialized.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes de NJ-08
Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes de NJ-08
$14,906 Vol.
$14,906 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
95%
Partido Republicano
6%
$14,906 Vol.
$14,906 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
$9,415 Vol.
95%
Partido Republicano
$5,491 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New Jersey’s 8th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, with voter registration favoring Democrats by more than four-to-one and minimal change from recent redistricting. Incumbent Democrat Rob Menendez secured his party’s nomination in the June 2026 primary and enters the general election with the structural advantages of incumbency, including established name recognition and fundraising. Forecasters rate the seat as safely Democratic, aligning with trader consensus reflected in the 94.5% implied probability for the Democratic nominee. A Republican victory would require an unusually large national midterm shift or a major local disruption, such as an unforeseen scandal or candidate withdrawal, neither of which has materialized.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volumen
$14,906Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New Jersey’s 8th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, with voter registration favoring Democrats by more than four-to-one and minimal change from recent redistricting. Incumbent Democrat Rob Menendez secured his party’s nomination in the June 2026 primary and enters the general election with the structural advantages of incumbency, including established name recognition and fundraising. Forecasters rate the seat as safely Democratic, aligning with trader consensus reflected in the 94.5% implied probability for the Democratic nominee. A Republican victory would require an unusually large national midterm shift or a major local disruption, such as an unforeseen scandal or candidate withdrawal, neither of which has materialized.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$14,906Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...New Jersey’s 8th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, with voter registration favoring Democrats by more than four-to-one and minimal change from recent redistricting. Incumbent Democrat Rob Menendez secured his party’s nomination in the June 2026 primary and enters the general election with the structural advantages of incumbency, including established name recognition and fundraising. Forecasters rate the seat as safely Democratic, aligning with trader consensus reflected in the 94.5% implied probability for the Democratic nominee. A Republican victory would require an unusually large national midterm shift or a major local disruption, such as an unforeseen scandal or candidate withdrawal, neither of which has materialized.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes