**Yoon Suk-yeol remains in detention at Seoul Detention Center following multiple convictions tied to his December 2024 martial law declaration.** A February 2026 Seoul Central District Court ruling sentenced him to life imprisonment on insurrection charges, while January and April rulings imposed additional multi-year terms for obstruction and related offenses; South Korea’s Supreme Court upheld a seven-year sentence on obstruction counts in July 2026. Yoon has appealed the life sentence and faces further trials, including a requested 30-year term over alleged drone operations. South Korean appellate processes for such high-profile cases typically extend well beyond a single calendar year, and no bail, pardon, or early-release mechanism has advanced. These confirmed judicial outcomes and procedural timelines underpin trader consensus that release before December 31, 2026 is improbable.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Yoon fuera de custodia antes de 2027?
¿Yoon fuera de custodia antes de 2027?
Sí
5% probabilidad
$178,981 Vol.
$178,981 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sí
5% probabilidad
$178,981 Vol.
$178,981 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Yoon Suk-yeol remains in detention at Seoul Detention Center following multiple convictions tied to his December 2024 martial law declaration.** A February 2026 Seoul Central District Court ruling sentenced him to life imprisonment on insurrection charges, while January and April rulings imposed additional multi-year terms for obstruction and related offenses; South Korea’s Supreme Court upheld a seven-year sentence on obstruction counts in July 2026. Yoon has appealed the life sentence and faces further trials, including a requested 30-year term over alleged drone operations. South Korean appellate processes for such high-profile cases typically extend well beyond a single calendar year, and no bail, pardon, or early-release mechanism has advanced. These confirmed judicial outcomes and procedural timelines underpin trader consensus that release before December 31, 2026 is improbable.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Nov 5, 2025, 2:42 PM ET
Volumen
$178,981Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Nov 5, 2025, 2:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Yoon Suk-yeol remains in detention at Seoul Detention Center following multiple convictions tied to his December 2024 martial law declaration.** A February 2026 Seoul Central District Court ruling sentenced him to life imprisonment on insurrection charges, while January and April rulings imposed additional multi-year terms for obstruction and related offenses; South Korea’s Supreme Court upheld a seven-year sentence on obstruction counts in July 2026. Yoon has appealed the life sentence and faces further trials, including a requested 30-year term over alleged drone operations. South Korean appellate processes for such high-profile cases typically extend well beyond a single calendar year, and no bail, pardon, or early-release mechanism has advanced. These confirmed judicial outcomes and procedural timelines underpin trader consensus that release before December 31, 2026 is improbable.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$178,981Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Nov 5, 2025, 2:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Yoon Suk-yeol remains in detention at Seoul Detention Center following multiple convictions tied to his December 2024 martial law declaration.** A February 2026 Seoul Central District Court ruling sentenced him to life imprisonment on insurrection charges, while January and April rulings imposed additional multi-year terms for obstruction and related offenses; South Korea’s Supreme Court upheld a seven-year sentence on obstruction counts in July 2026. Yoon has appealed the life sentence and faces further trials, including a requested 30-year term over alleged drone operations. South Korean appellate processes for such high-profile cases typically extend well beyond a single calendar year, and no bail, pardon, or early-release mechanism has advanced. These confirmed judicial outcomes and procedural timelines underpin trader consensus that release before December 31, 2026 is improbable.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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