Canada’s most recent federal election in 2025 delivered Prime Minister Mark Carney’s Liberals a majority in the House of Commons, allowing the government to serve until the fixed-date election of October 15, 2029, without facing routine confidence votes or supply defeats. No legislative gridlock, economic crisis, or internal party pressure has emerged in recent months to alter that timeline. With Parliament stable and no procedural requirement for dissolution before late June, traders see negligible risk of an early writ. Only an unforeseen major scandal or sudden severe downturn capable of shifting strategic calculations could still prompt the governor general to dissolve Parliament on Carney’s advice within the narrow window.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
$80,557 Vol.
$80,557 Vol.
2026/06/30
はい
$80,557 Vol.
$80,557 Vol.
2026/06/30
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2025 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Canada’s most recent federal election in 2025 delivered Prime Minister Mark Carney’s Liberals a majority in the House of Commons, allowing the government to serve until the fixed-date election of October 15, 2029, without facing routine confidence votes or supply defeats. No legislative gridlock, economic crisis, or internal party pressure has emerged in recent months to alter that timeline. With Parliament stable and no procedural requirement for dissolution before late June, traders see negligible risk of an early writ. Only an unforeseen major scandal or sudden severe downturn capable of shifting strategic calculations could still prompt the governor general to dissolve Parliament on Carney’s advice within the narrow window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2025 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2025 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
マーケット開始日： Nov 24, 2025, 3:34 PM ET
音量
$80,557終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
Nov 24, 2025, 3:34 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2025 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Canada’s most recent federal election in 2025 delivered Prime Minister Mark Carney’s Liberals a majority in the House of Commons, allowing the government to serve until the fixed-date election of October 15, 2029, without facing routine confidence votes or supply defeats. No legislative gridlock, economic crisis, or internal party pressure has emerged in recent months to alter that timeline. With Parliament stable and no procedural requirement for dissolution before late June, traders see negligible risk of an early writ. Only an unforeseen major scandal or sudden severe downturn capable of shifting strategic calculations could still prompt the governor general to dissolve Parliament on Carney’s advice within the narrow window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2025 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2025 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
音量
$80,557終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
Nov 24, 2025, 3:34 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Canada’s most recent federal election in 2025 delivered Prime Minister Mark Carney’s Liberals a majority in the House of Commons, allowing the government to serve until the fixed-date election of October 15, 2029, without facing routine confidence votes or supply defeats. No legislative gridlock, economic crisis, or internal party pressure has emerged in recent months to alter that timeline. With Parliament stable and no procedural requirement for dissolution before late June, traders see negligible risk of an early writ. Only an unforeseen major scandal or sudden severe downturn capable of shifting strategic calculations could still prompt the governor general to dissolve Parliament on Carney’s advice within the narrow window.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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