Trader consensus positions Clayton Johnson as the slim frontrunner at 25.3% implied probability to win The Bachelorette Season 22, buoyed by his pre-cancelation buzz as Lana Del Rey's ex-fiancé—a Nashville singer-songwriter whose celebrity tie-in dominated February cast reveals and fueled early fan speculation. ABC's March 19 abrupt axe of Taylor Frankie Paul's unaired season, amid resurfaced abuse allegations from her past, has fragmented the wide-open field, with Doug Mason (6.2%) hampered by Reality Steve spoilers revealing a quick post-finale breakup despite his recent supportive statements. Contenders like Matt Carroll (5.4%) and Shane Parton (5.3%) differentiate via leaked strong chemistry and hometowns appeal, but uncertainty lingers without official resolution or aired episodes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedBachelorette Season 22 Winner
Bachelorette Season 22 Winner
Clayton Johnson 25.5%
Doug Mason 6.2%
Shane Parton 5.4%
Matt Carroll 5.3%
$618,584 Vol.
$618,584 Vol.
Clayton Johnson
26%
Doug Mason
6%
Shane Parton
5%
Matt Carroll
5%
Lew Evans
1%
Michael Baba
1%
Richard Van De Water
1%
Malik Evans
1%
Ronn Perez
1%
Aaron Kahng
1%
Marcus Richardson
1%
Brandon Perce
1%
Casey Hux
1%
Christopher Wood
1%
Brad Ledford
<1%
Josh Harward
<1%
Kevin Montero
<1%
Rod Strozier
<1%
Conrad Ukropina
<1%
Johnnie LaRossa
<1%
Trenten Merrill
<1%
Mike Turitto
<1%
Clayton Johnson 25.5%
Doug Mason 6.2%
Shane Parton 5.4%
Matt Carroll 5.3%
$618,584 Vol.
$618,584 Vol.
Clayton Johnson
26%
Doug Mason
6%
Shane Parton
5%
Matt Carroll
5%
Lew Evans
1%
Michael Baba
1%
Richard Van De Water
1%
Malik Evans
1%
Ronn Perez
1%
Aaron Kahng
1%
Marcus Richardson
1%
Brandon Perce
1%
Casey Hux
1%
Christopher Wood
1%
Brad Ledford
<1%
Josh Harward
<1%
Kevin Montero
<1%
Rod Strozier
<1%
Conrad Ukropina
<1%
Johnnie LaRossa
<1%
Trenten Merrill
<1%
Mike Turitto
<1%
The winner is defined as the contestant who receives the final rose from the Bachelorette. Any changes in relationship status after the final rose ceremony including the "After the Final Rose" segment will not be considered.
If no rose is given, or the finale ends without a final rose ceremony, this market will resolve to "Other".
If the final episode of the bachelorette is not publicly available by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The official resolution source will be the finale episode of The Bachelorette Season 22.
Market Opened: Feb 24, 2026, 6:49 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The winner is defined as the contestant who receives the final rose from the Bachelorette. Any changes in relationship status after the final rose ceremony including the "After the Final Rose" segment will not be considered.
If no rose is given, or the finale ends without a final rose ceremony, this market will resolve to "Other".
If the final episode of the bachelorette is not publicly available by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The official resolution source will be the finale episode of The Bachelorette Season 22.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus positions Clayton Johnson as the slim frontrunner at 25.3% implied probability to win The Bachelorette Season 22, buoyed by his pre-cancelation buzz as Lana Del Rey's ex-fiancé—a Nashville singer-songwriter whose celebrity tie-in dominated February cast reveals and fueled early fan speculation. ABC's March 19 abrupt axe of Taylor Frankie Paul's unaired season, amid resurfaced abuse allegations from her past, has fragmented the wide-open field, with Doug Mason (6.2%) hampered by Reality Steve spoilers revealing a quick post-finale breakup despite his recent supportive statements. Contenders like Matt Carroll (5.4%) and Shane Parton (5.3%) differentiate via leaked strong chemistry and hometowns appeal, but uncertainty lingers without official resolution or aired episodes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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