Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 220-279 tweets for Elon Musk's X posts from April 14-21, with 240-259 leading at 26.5% implied probability, reflecting his steady high-volume engagement averaging 30-37 posts daily in recent weeks—prior markets resolved at 260-279 (March 27-April 3) and 320-339 (March 13-20). This tight race among top contenders stems from minor daily fluctuations, like the 25-post dip over April 9-11 amid xAI training updates and SpaceX prep, balanced against historical spikes from viral memes, Tesla buzz, or political commentary. Key differentiators include potential catalysts like Q1 earnings reactions or Starship news, with the week's resolution hinging on sustained cultural dominance as X's most active influencer.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated240-259 27%
260-279 21%
220-239 18%
280-299 15%
$458,808 Vol.
$458,808 Vol.
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
1%
160-179
1%
180-199
2%
200-219
6%
220-239
18%
240-259
27%
260-279
21%
280-299
15%
300-319
6%
320-339
3%
340-359
2%
360-379
1%
380-399
1%
400-419
1%
420-439
1%
440-459
1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580+
<1%
240-259 27%
260-279 21%
220-239 18%
280-299 15%
$458,808 Vol.
$458,808 Vol.
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
1%
160-179
1%
180-199
2%
200-219
6%
220-239
18%
240-259
27%
260-279
21%
280-299
15%
300-319
6%
320-339
3%
340-359
2%
360-379
1%
380-399
1%
400-419
1%
420-439
1%
440-459
1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Apr 11, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 220-279 tweets for Elon Musk's X posts from April 14-21, with 240-259 leading at 26.5% implied probability, reflecting his steady high-volume engagement averaging 30-37 posts daily in recent weeks—prior markets resolved at 260-279 (March 27-April 3) and 320-339 (March 13-20). This tight race among top contenders stems from minor daily fluctuations, like the 25-post dip over April 9-11 amid xAI training updates and SpaceX prep, balanced against historical spikes from viral memes, Tesla buzz, or political commentary. Key differentiators include potential catalysts like Q1 earnings reactions or Starship news, with the week's resolution hinging on sustained cultural dominance as X's most active influencer.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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