Recent TSA checkpoint screening data through April 9 underscores trader consensus favoring 17-17.5 million passengers for April 13-19, with daily throughput averaging around 2.4-2.5 million amid post-Easter normalization—March 30-April 5 totaled just 16.25 million after spring break peaks. A sharp weekday dip to 2.2 million on April 7-8 reflects holiday aftermath and year-over-year declines of 7-9%, tightening the race against <16.5 million at 47.5%, as volumes stabilize without major events like federal holidays. Upside risks include weekend surges or capacity expansions; downside from persistent economic softening or weather disruptions could widen separation before resolution via official TSA tallies.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated17-17.5m 54%
<16.5m 48%
>18.5m 46%
16.5-17m 42%
NEW
NEW
Apr 19, 2026
<16.5m
48%
16.5-17m
42%
17-17.5m
54%
17.5-18m
42%
18-18.5m
37%
>18.5m
46%
17-17.5m 54%
<16.5m 48%
>18.5m 46%
16.5-17m 42%
NEW
NEW
Apr 19, 2026
<16.5m
$0 Vol.
48%
16.5-17m
$0 Vol.
42%
17-17.5m
$0 Vol.
54%
17.5-18m
$0 Vol.
42%
18-18.5m
$14 Vol.
37%
>18.5m
$14 Vol.
46%
This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported between April 13, 2026 and April 19, 2026 (inclusive).
The total number of TSA passengers will be calculated by summing all of the TSA daily checkpoint throughputs reported for this date range (e.g. if there were a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 2 million reported on December 1 and a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 3 million reported on December 2, the total number of TSA passengers for December 1-2 would be 5 million).
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for all dates within the listed range. Any revisions published to data for dates December 8, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for any of the dates from April 13, 2026 to April 19, 2026 by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.Recent TSA checkpoint screening data through April 9 underscores trader consensus favoring 17-17.5 million passengers for April 13-19, with daily throughput averaging around 2.4-2.5 million amid post-Easter normalization—March 30-April 5 totaled just 16.25 million after spring break peaks. A sharp weekday dip to 2.2 million on April 7-8 reflects holiday aftermath and year-over-year declines of 7-9%, tightening the race against <16.5 million at 47.5%, as volumes stabilize without major events like federal holidays. Upside risks include weekend surges or capacity expansions; downside from persistent economic softening or weather disruptions could widen separation before resolution via official TSA tallies.
This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported between April 13, 2026 and April 19, 2026 (inclusive).
The total number of TSA passengers will be calculated by summing all of the TSA daily checkpoint throughputs reported for this date range (e.g. if there were a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 2 million reported on December 1 and a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 3 million reported on December 2, the total number of TSA passengers for December 1-2 would be 5 million).
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for all dates within the listed range. Any revisions published to data for dates December 8, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for any of the dates from April 13, 2026 to April 19, 2026 by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
The total number of TSA passengers will be calculated by summing all of the TSA daily checkpoint throughputs reported for this date range (e.g. if there were a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 2 million reported on December 1 and a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 3 million reported on December 2, the total number of TSA passengers for December 1-2 would be 5 million).
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for all dates within the listed range. Any revisions published to data for dates December 8, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for any of the dates from April 13, 2026 to April 19, 2026 by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
Market Opened: Apr 10, 2026, 4:30 PM ET
Volume
$29End Date
Apr 19, 2026Market Opened
Apr 10, 2026, 4:30 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported between April 13, 2026 and April 19, 2026 (inclusive).
The total number of TSA passengers will be calculated by summing all of the TSA daily checkpoint throughputs reported for this date range (e.g. if there were a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 2 million reported on December 1 and a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 3 million reported on December 2, the total number of TSA passengers for December 1-2 would be 5 million).
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for all dates within the listed range. Any revisions published to data for dates December 8, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for any of the dates from April 13, 2026 to April 19, 2026 by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.Recent TSA checkpoint screening data through April 9 underscores trader consensus favoring 17-17.5 million passengers for April 13-19, with daily throughput averaging around 2.4-2.5 million amid post-Easter normalization—March 30-April 5 totaled just 16.25 million after spring break peaks. A sharp weekday dip to 2.2 million on April 7-8 reflects holiday aftermath and year-over-year declines of 7-9%, tightening the race against <16.5 million at 47.5%, as volumes stabilize without major events like federal holidays. Upside risks include weekend surges or capacity expansions; downside from persistent economic softening or weather disruptions could widen separation before resolution via official TSA tallies.
This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported between April 13, 2026 and April 19, 2026 (inclusive).
The total number of TSA passengers will be calculated by summing all of the TSA daily checkpoint throughputs reported for this date range (e.g. if there were a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 2 million reported on December 1 and a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 3 million reported on December 2, the total number of TSA passengers for December 1-2 would be 5 million).
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for all dates within the listed range. Any revisions published to data for dates December 8, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for any of the dates from April 13, 2026 to April 19, 2026 by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
The total number of TSA passengers will be calculated by summing all of the TSA daily checkpoint throughputs reported for this date range (e.g. if there were a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 2 million reported on December 1 and a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 3 million reported on December 2, the total number of TSA passengers for December 1-2 would be 5 million).
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for all dates within the listed range. Any revisions published to data for dates December 8, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for any of the dates from April 13, 2026 to April 19, 2026 by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
Volume
$29End Date
Apr 19, 2026Market Opened
Apr 10, 2026, 4:30 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent TSA checkpoint screening data through April 9 underscores trader consensus favoring 17-17.5 million passengers for April 13-19, with daily throughput averaging around 2.4-2.5 million amid post-Easter normalization—March 30-April 5 totaled just 16.25 million after spring break peaks. A sharp weekday dip to 2.2 million on April 7-8 reflects holiday aftermath and year-over-year declines of 7-9%, tightening the race against <16.5 million at 47.5%, as volumes stabilize without major events like federal holidays. Upside risks include weekend surges or capacity expansions; downside from persistent economic softening or weather disruptions could widen separation before resolution via official TSA tallies.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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