Trader consensus on Polymarket positions 65-89 posts by Elon Musk from April 11-13 at 44.5% implied probability, reflecting his recent subdued X posting pace after the April 9-11 window resolved at just 42 total posts—averaging around 21 daily amid quieter engagement on Tesla FSD demos, Grok updates, and cultural commentary. The 40-64 range trails at 26.5%, capturing potential further moderation below his historical 40-60 daily peaks seen in January markets, while higher buckets like 90-114 (19.5%) account for possible viral spikes from SpaceX or political replies. No major catalysts have emerged in the last 48 hours, but weekend news on AI lawsuits or Artemis II could accelerate activity before the April 13 close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated65-89 45%
40-64 27%
90-114 20%
115-139 5%
NEW
$107,981 Vol.
NEW
$107,981 Vol.
Apr 13, 2026
<40
2%
40-64
27%
65-89
45%
90-114
20%
115-139
5%
140-164
1%
165-189
1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
65-89 45%
40-64 27%
90-114 20%
115-139 5%
NEW
$107,981 Vol.
NEW
$107,981 Vol.
Apr 13, 2026
<40
$10,168 Vol.
2%
40-64
$4,599 Vol.
27%
65-89
$8,422 Vol.
45%
90-114
$3,838 Vol.
20%
115-139
$9,172 Vol.
5%
140-164
$9,908 Vol.
1%
165-189
$10,067 Vol.
1%
190-214
$10,497 Vol.
<1%
215-239
$21,183 Vol.
<1%
240+
$20,127 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 11 12:00 PM ET to April 13, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket positions 65-89 posts by Elon Musk from April 11-13 at 44.5% implied probability, reflecting his recent subdued X posting pace after the April 9-11 window resolved at just 42 total posts—averaging around 21 daily amid quieter engagement on Tesla FSD demos, Grok updates, and cultural commentary. The 40-64 range trails at 26.5%, capturing potential further moderation below his historical 40-60 daily peaks seen in January markets, while higher buckets like 90-114 (19.5%) account for possible viral spikes from SpaceX or political replies. No major catalysts have emerged in the last 48 hours, but weekend news on AI lawsuits or Artemis II could accelerate activity before the April 13 close.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 11 12:00 PM ET to April 13, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Apr 9, 2026, 12:02 PM ET
Volume
$107,981End Date
Apr 13, 2026Market Opened
Apr 9, 2026, 12:02 PM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 11 12:00 PM ET to April 13, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket positions 65-89 posts by Elon Musk from April 11-13 at 44.5% implied probability, reflecting his recent subdued X posting pace after the April 9-11 window resolved at just 42 total posts—averaging around 21 daily amid quieter engagement on Tesla FSD demos, Grok updates, and cultural commentary. The 40-64 range trails at 26.5%, capturing potential further moderation below his historical 40-60 daily peaks seen in January markets, while higher buckets like 90-114 (19.5%) account for possible viral spikes from SpaceX or political replies. No major catalysts have emerged in the last 48 hours, but weekend news on AI lawsuits or Artemis II could accelerate activity before the April 13 close.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 11 12:00 PM ET to April 13, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$107,981End Date
Apr 13, 2026Market Opened
Apr 9, 2026, 12:02 PM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket positions 65-89 posts by Elon Musk from April 11-13 at 44.5% implied probability, reflecting his recent subdued X posting pace after the April 9-11 window resolved at just 42 total posts—averaging around 21 daily amid quieter engagement on Tesla FSD demos, Grok updates, and cultural commentary. The 40-64 range trails at 26.5%, capturing potential further moderation below his historical 40-60 daily peaks seen in January markets, while higher buckets like 90-114 (19.5%) account for possible viral spikes from SpaceX or political replies. No major catalysts have emerged in the last 48 hours, but weekend news on AI lawsuits or Artemis II could accelerate activity before the April 13 close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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