Market icon
Tech·Apple

ChatGPT back in as #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store by...?

Market icon
Tech·Apple

ChatGPT back in as #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store by...?

NEW
Apr 11, 2026
Polymarket

$3,902 Vol.

Polymarket

April 11

$749 Vol.

60%

April 12

$1,209 Vol.

88%

April 13

$904 Vol.

91%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if ChatGPT is the iOS app ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps" by the specified date, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If ChatGPT is ranked the #1 free app in the US Apple App Store at any point between market creation and the listed date, 11:59PM ET, this market will immediately resolve to "Yes". To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone). ChatGPT currently sits at #2 in the US iPhone App Store free rankings behind MONOPOLY GO!, with fellow AI apps Claude (#3), Meta AI (#4), and Google Gemini (#6) dominating the top amid surging artificial intelligence adoption. Trader consensus anticipates a quick return to #1, driven by GPT-5.4's advanced multimodal capabilities, computer use, and reasoning prowess that propelled a mid-March rebound after an early-month drop to Claude sparked by OpenAI's controversial military contract backlash, user uninstalls (up 295% on April 7), and review floods. Daily volatility persists from gaming surges like The Masters app and competitive AI updates; watch OpenAI announcements for catalysts to reclaim the lead.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if ChatGPT is the iOS app ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps" by the specified date, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If ChatGPT is ranked the #1 free app in the US Apple App Store at any point between market creation and the listed date, 11:59PM ET, this market will immediately resolve to "Yes".

To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
Volume
$3,902
End Date
Apr 13, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 10, 2026, 11:18 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if ChatGPT is the iOS app ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps" by the specified date, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If ChatGPT is ranked the #1 free app in the US Apple App Store at any point between market creation and the listed date, 11:59PM ET, this market will immediately resolve to "Yes". To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if ChatGPT is the iOS app ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps" by the specified date, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If ChatGPT is ranked the #1 free app in the US Apple App Store at any point between market creation and the listed date, 11:59PM ET, this market will immediately resolve to "Yes". To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone). ChatGPT currently sits at #2 in the US iPhone App Store free rankings behind MONOPOLY GO!, with fellow AI apps Claude (#3), Meta AI (#4), and Google Gemini (#6) dominating the top amid surging artificial intelligence adoption. Trader consensus anticipates a quick return to #1, driven by GPT-5.4's advanced multimodal capabilities, computer use, and reasoning prowess that propelled a mid-March rebound after an early-month drop to Claude sparked by OpenAI's controversial military contract backlash, user uninstalls (up 295% on April 7), and review floods. Daily volatility persists from gaming surges like The Masters app and competitive AI updates; watch OpenAI announcements for catalysts to reclaim the lead.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if ChatGPT is the iOS app ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps" by the specified date, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If ChatGPT is ranked the #1 free app in the US Apple App Store at any point between market creation and the listed date, 11:59PM ET, this market will immediately resolve to "Yes".

To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
Volume
$3,902
End Date
Apr 13, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 10, 2026, 11:18 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if ChatGPT is the iOS app ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps" by the specified date, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If ChatGPT is ranked the #1 free app in the US Apple App Store at any point between market creation and the listed date, 11:59PM ET, this market will immediately resolve to "Yes". To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"ChatGPT back in as #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store by...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "April 13" at 91%, followed by "April 12" at 88%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 91¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 91% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"ChatGPT back in as #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store by...?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Apr 10, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "ChatGPT back in as #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store by...?," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "ChatGPT back in as #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store by...?" is "April 13" at 91%, meaning the market assigns a 91% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "April 12" at 88%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "ChatGPT back in as #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store by...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.