**Erdoğan’s current presidential term runs through 2028 under Turkey’s executive system, and recent statements from the president and his AKP-MHP alliance signal active preparations for elections in 2027 or 2028, including possible early parliamentary action to preserve eligibility for a third term.** Opposition challenges remain constrained, with prominent figures such as Istanbul’s former mayor Ekrem İmamoğlu facing imprisonment and legal restrictions following convictions. Erdoğan continues public engagements, including recent speeches affirming continued leadership and policy priorities on security, economy, and regional issues, while allies publicly back his candidacy. No constitutional, electoral, or institutional mechanisms indicate removal by the end of 2026, and trader consensus reflected in the 93.5% “No” price aligns with the absence of acute near-term risks to his position.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedErdoğan out by December 31, 2026?
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?
7% chance
$636,490 Vol.
$636,490 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
Earn 3.25%
7% chance
$636,490 Vol.
$636,490 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
Earn 3.25%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Erdoğan’s current presidential term runs through 2028 under Turkey’s executive system, and recent statements from the president and his AKP-MHP alliance signal active preparations for elections in 2027 or 2028, including possible early parliamentary action to preserve eligibility for a third term.** Opposition challenges remain constrained, with prominent figures such as Istanbul’s former mayor Ekrem İmamoğlu facing imprisonment and legal restrictions following convictions. Erdoğan continues public engagements, including recent speeches affirming continued leadership and policy priorities on security, economy, and regional issues, while allies publicly back his candidacy. No constitutional, electoral, or institutional mechanisms indicate removal by the end of 2026, and trader consensus reflected in the 93.5% “No” price aligns with the absence of acute near-term risks to his position.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jul 24, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
Volume
$636,490End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 24, 2025, 7:36 PM ETResolver
0x157Ce2d67...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Erdoğan’s current presidential term runs through 2028 under Turkey’s executive system, and recent statements from the president and his AKP-MHP alliance signal active preparations for elections in 2027 or 2028, including possible early parliamentary action to preserve eligibility for a third term.** Opposition challenges remain constrained, with prominent figures such as Istanbul’s former mayor Ekrem İmamoğlu facing imprisonment and legal restrictions following convictions. Erdoğan continues public engagements, including recent speeches affirming continued leadership and policy priorities on security, economy, and regional issues, while allies publicly back his candidacy. No constitutional, electoral, or institutional mechanisms indicate removal by the end of 2026, and trader consensus reflected in the 93.5% “No” price aligns with the absence of acute near-term risks to his position.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$636,490End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 24, 2025, 7:36 PM ETResolver
0x157Ce2d67...**Erdoğan’s current presidential term runs through 2028 under Turkey’s executive system, and recent statements from the president and his AKP-MHP alliance signal active preparations for elections in 2027 or 2028, including possible early parliamentary action to preserve eligibility for a third term.** Opposition challenges remain constrained, with prominent figures such as Istanbul’s former mayor Ekrem İmamoğlu facing imprisonment and legal restrictions following convictions. Erdoğan continues public engagements, including recent speeches affirming continued leadership and policy priorities on security, economy, and regional issues, while allies publicly back his candidacy. No constitutional, electoral, or institutional mechanisms indicate removal by the end of 2026, and trader consensus reflected in the 93.5% “No” price aligns with the absence of acute near-term risks to his position.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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