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Politics·Japan

Fukushima Governor Election Winner

icon for Fukushima Governor Election Winner
Politics·Japan

Fukushima Governor Election Winner

Masao Uchibori 94%

Yudai Endo 2.5%

Kunihiko Hasenuma <1%

Jun Kanayama <1%

Polymarket
NEW

Masao Uchibori 94%

Yudai Endo 2.5%

Kunihiko Hasenuma <1%

Jun Kanayama <1%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for Masao Uchibori

Masao Uchibori

$2,339 Vol.

94%

icon for Yudai Endo

Yudai Endo

$285 Vol.

2%

icon for Kunihiko Hasenuma

Kunihiko Hasenuma

$251 Vol.

1%

icon for Jun Kanayama

Jun Kanayama

$212 Vol.

1%

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Fukushima on October 25, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Fukushima gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". If no candidate reaches the legally required number of votes to win the election, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Fukushima and Japan, including the Fukushima Prefecture Election Management Committee (https://www.pref.fukushima.lg.jp/sec/62010a/).Masao Uchibori, the incumbent Fukushima governor running as an independent, holds a commanding lead in the November 11, 2026, election due to his established record on post-2011 reconstruction, disaster recovery priorities, and prior electoral successes. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing shows limited organized opposition, with no prominent challengers generating significant momentum or polling visibility as of mid-August. Key variables that could narrow the margin include late candidate announcements, shifts in local voter priorities on nuclear decommissioning or economic revitalization, or unexpected developments in prefectural policy debates. Historical patterns in Japanese local races favor incumbents with broad cross-party support absent major controversies.

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Fukushima on October 25, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Fukushima gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

If no candidate reaches the legally required number of votes to win the election, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Fukushima and Japan, including the Fukushima Prefecture Election Management Committee (https://www.pref.fukushima.lg.jp/sec/62010a/).
Volume
$3,087
End Date
Oct 25, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 20, 2026, 5:57 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Fukushima on October 25, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Fukushima gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". If no candidate reaches the legally required number of votes to win the election, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Fukushima and Japan, including the Fukushima Prefecture Election Management Committee (https://www.pref.fukushima.lg.jp/sec/62010a/).
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Fukushima on October 25, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Fukushima gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". If no candidate reaches the legally required number of votes to win the election, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Fukushima and Japan, including the Fukushima Prefecture Election Management Committee (https://www.pref.fukushima.lg.jp/sec/62010a/).Masao Uchibori, the incumbent Fukushima governor running as an independent, holds a commanding lead in the November 11, 2026, election due to his established record on post-2011 reconstruction, disaster recovery priorities, and prior electoral successes. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing shows limited organized opposition, with no prominent challengers generating significant momentum or polling visibility as of mid-August. Key variables that could narrow the margin include late candidate announcements, shifts in local voter priorities on nuclear decommissioning or economic revitalization, or unexpected developments in prefectural policy debates. Historical patterns in Japanese local races favor incumbents with broad cross-party support absent major controversies.

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Fukushima on October 25, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Fukushima gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

If no candidate reaches the legally required number of votes to win the election, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Fukushima and Japan, including the Fukushima Prefecture Election Management Committee (https://www.pref.fukushima.lg.jp/sec/62010a/).
Volume
$3,087
End Date
Oct 25, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 20, 2026, 5:57 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Fukushima on October 25, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Fukushima gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". If no candidate reaches the legally required number of votes to win the election, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Fukushima and Japan, including the Fukushima Prefecture Election Management Committee (https://www.pref.fukushima.lg.jp/sec/62010a/).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Fukushima Governor Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Masao Uchibori" at 94%, followed by "Yudai Endo" at 2%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 94¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 94% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Fukushima Governor Election Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 20, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Fukushima Governor Election Winner," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Fukushima Governor Election Winner" is "Masao Uchibori" at 94%, meaning the market assigns a 94% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Yudai Endo" at 2%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Fukushima Governor Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.