Recent official observations from the Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute confirm a daily maximum of 22°C at the primary Amsterdam-area station on June 1, aligning with the market’s near-certain outcome. Short-range model guidance issued in the final 48 hours consistently projected this value amid stable high pressure, light winds, and above-average North Sea sea-surface temperatures that limited overnight cooling. Early-June climatology for the region centers on 19–20°C, so the realized temperature represented a modest positive anomaly without triggering the convective or advective shifts that could have pushed readings into the 23°C+ bins. With resolution now based on verified measurements rather than forecasts, only post hoc data revisions would alter the outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Amsterdam on June 1?
22°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$58,742 Vol.
$58,742 Vol.
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
Yes
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
22°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$58,742 Vol.
$58,742 Vol.
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
Yes
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: May 30, 2026, 12:37 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Recent official observations from the Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute confirm a daily maximum of 22°C at the primary Amsterdam-area station on June 1, aligning with the market’s near-certain outcome. Short-range model guidance issued in the final 48 hours consistently projected this value amid stable high pressure, light winds, and above-average North Sea sea-surface temperatures that limited overnight cooling. Early-June climatology for the region centers on 19–20°C, so the realized temperature represented a modest positive anomaly without triggering the convective or advective shifts that could have pushed readings into the 23°C+ bins. With resolution now based on verified measurements rather than forecasts, only post hoc data revisions would alter the outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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